name
Yefanova Natalia Vladimirovna
Scholastic degree
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Academic rank
associated professor
Honorary rank
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Organization, job position
• Kuban State Agrarian University
Research interests
-
Web site url
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Current rating (overall rating of articles)
0
TOP5 co-authors
Articles count: 19
Сформировать список работ, опубликованных в Научном журнале КубГАУ
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Description
Results of internal environment integrated production system research with the point of view of qualitative analysis and risk evaluation were casted in the article. In particular, model and method of calculation of integral index of production vertical line risk and improved data-flow model of effectiveness assessment of IPS with an account of risk constituent on the stage of creation of material flow are described. Reasonability of presentation of prognostic meaning of profit in the type of indistinct triangular number was substantiated.
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Description
In this article the size of material stream in bread-production chain with use of the theory of indistinct sets and application of risk component is predicted, the interval model of definition of efficiency is developed
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Description
Principles of construction and stages of programming complex on analysis and risks assessment at the enterprises of agro-industrial complex, including design of general architecture of programming complex, logical structure of programming models, being the part of programming complex, physical structure of programming complex on the level of file system and algorithm of functioning of complex software are considered in the article.
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Description
The article describes the process of developing the two-level technique for assessment of the missed benefit during the landing and cultivation of perennial plantings. The technique is developed for the enterprises where the cycle of production of raw materials breaks into several periods until the first harvest. The choice problem of the most suitable grades for the landing is relevant for such enterprises. The first level of the two-level technique assumes assessment of qualitative and quantitative characteristics of grades with use of such tools as the theory of fuzzy sets and the decisions tree. The results of the first level are entrance data for the second level where there is final assessment of a grade and determination of the missed benefit rather potentially possible at the choice of the recommended grade. In the article also designated the importance of the raw materials stage for the technological chain. It is shown that, being consecutive structure, the technological chain strongly depends on the first stage – a stage of raw materials production. Minimization of the risk situations at the first stage promotes strengthening of the general risk tolerance of a technological chain
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Description
In this article the model and a calculation procedure of an integrated indicator of risk of the internal environment of the integrated production system are described. Then the steps of creation of triangular fuzzy number for expected value of profit are given. At creation of this fuzzy number the concept of an indicator of risk of the internal environment of the integrated production system was used. Further on the basis of the developed model of internal risk the interval model of efficiency of the integrated production system is developed and described. In this article the structure of a production chain of the integrated production system of agroindustrial complex was considered. In technologically complete production chain, as a rule, allocate three stages – raw materials production, storage and conversion, sale of finished goods. Each subsequent stage depends from previous stage, and at each stage various situations of risk are shown. Also the process of risk identification of the internal environment of the integrated production system was considered in this article. Process decomposition is executed, the description of subprocesses is given. For a risk assessment of the internal environment it is necessary to know quantity of production chains, and also to calculate value of risk for each production chain on the enclosed algorithm. Also in the article the principle of recognition and interpretation of results of calculation of an integrated indicator of risk of the internal environment of the agro-industrial integrated production system on the basis of Harrington's scale and standard indistinct 01 classificators is shown
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