name
Lutsenko Yevgeniy Veniaminovich
Scholastic degree
•
Academic rank
professor
Honorary rank
—
Organization, job position
• Kuban State Agrarian University
кафедра компьютерных технологий и систем
профессор
Research interests
Системно-когнитивный анализ, системы искусственного интеллекта, высшие формы сознания, перспективы человека, технологии и общества
Web site url
Current rating (overall rating of articles)
0
TOP5 co-authors
Articles count: 276
Сформировать список работ, опубликованных в Научном журнале КубГАУ
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08.00.13 Mathematical and instrumental methods of Economics
DescriptionIn the article, we develop the methodology of strategic planning and management of the holding on the theoretical basis of automated system-cognitive analysis (ASC-analysis). This methodology provides scientific research of any holding by creating and researching its model. The methodology includes both the synthesis, adaptation and verification of system-cognitive models of the holding, and the use of these models for strategic planning and decision support for managing the holding, as a complex, multiparametric, nonlinear system. The relevance of the research is due to the special role of holdings and other corporate integrated structures both in Russia as a whole and, in particular, in the Krasnodar region. Despite obvious system advantages, holdings face a wide range of problems related to management efficiency, ensuring their sustainable functioning, etc. The proposed methodology offers ways to solve these problems and can be successfully applied in holdings and other corporate integrated structures of various regions, volumes and areas of activity, which determines the relevance of the research topic. The level of significance and scientific novelty of the Research consists in the development of conceptual and theoretical and methodological provisions aimed at managing the development of holdings. The expected results and their significance are that the methodology developed as a result of the Research can be applied by holding companies and other corporate integrated structures and will significantly improve the quality of their management
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COGNITIVE MODELS OF PREDICTION THE DEVELOPMENT OF A DIVERSIFIED CORPORATION
DescriptionThe application of classical forecasting methods applied to a diversified corporation faces some certain difficulties, due to its economic nature. Unlike other businesses, diversified corporations are characterized by multidimensional arrays of data with a high degree of distortion and fragmentation of information due to the cumulative effect of the incompleteness and distortion of accounting information from the enterprises in it. Under these conditions, the applied methods and tools must have high resolution and work effectively with large databases with incomplete information, ensure the correct common comparable quantitative processing of the heterogeneous nature of the factors measured in different units. It is therefore necessary to select or develop some methods that can work with complex poorly formalized tasks. This fact substantiates the relevance of the problem of developing models, methods and tools for solving the problem of forecasting the development of diversified corporations. This is the subject of this work, which makes it relevant. The work aims to: 1) analyze the forecasting methods to justify the choice of system-cognitive analysis as one of the effective methods for the prediction of semi-structured tasks; 2) to adapt and develop the method of systemic-cognitive analysis for forecasting of dynamics of development of the corporation subject to the scenario approach; 3) to develop predictive model scenarios of changes in basic economic indicators of development of the corporation and to assess their credibility; 4) determine the analytical form of the dependence between past and future scenarios of various economic indicators; 5) develop analytical models weighing predictable scenarios, taking into account all prediction results with positive levels of similarity, to increase the level of reliability of forecasts; 6) to develop a calculation procedure to assess the strength of influence on the corporation (sensitivity) of its member enterprises; 7) to finalize the software tools the ask analysis to the level of information technology, given its adaptation and development to predict actions in a diversified corporation
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn this article application of the method of computerized system-cognitive analysis and its programmatic tooling – system "Eidoses" for detection of cause and effect associations from the trial-and-error data is considered. In the capacity of a toolkit for the formal submission of cause and effect associations cognitive functions are tendered. Cognitive functions represent many-valued interval functions of many arguments in which one various value of function in a various degree match to various value of arguments, and the quantitative standard of this correspondence appears to be the knowledge, i.e. the information about cause and effect associations in the trial-and-error data, beneficial to a goal achievement
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThis article briefly reviews the classical concept of functional dependence in mathematics, determines the limitations of this concept for adequate modeling of reality and formulates the problem, consisting in search of such generalization of the concept of func-tions, which is more suitable for the adequate reflec-tion of causal relationships in the real domain. Also, it discusses theoretical and practical solving the prob-lem, consisting in: (a) we suggest the universal method of calculating the amount of information in the value of argument about the meaning of the function, i.e. cognitive functions which is independent from the subject area; b) we offer software tools: Eidos intelli-gent system, allowing in practice to carry out these calculations, i.e. to build cognitive functions based on a fragmented noisy empirical data of high dimension. We also offer the concepts of nonreducing, partially and completely reduced direct and inverse, positive and negative cognitive functions and the method of formation of reduced cognitive function, which is a generalization of known weighted least-squares meth-od on the basis of observation the amount of infor-mation in the values of the argument about the values of the functions accounting
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn the USSR higher attestation Commission from 1975 to the collapse of the USSR was subordinated not to the Ministry of education and science, but to the Council of Ministers of the USSR directly. However, since then there is a steady trend of gradual reduction of the status of the Commission. Today it is not just included in the Ministry of education, it is just one of the units of one of its structures: the Rosobrnadzor. Reduced status of the HAC inevitably leads to a decline in the status and in the adequacy of scientific degrees assigned as well as scientific ranks. This process of devaluation of traditional academic degrees and titles assigned to the HAC, has reached the point when a few years ago there were abolished salary increments for them. Now, instead of that, every university and research institutes have developed their local, i.e. non-comparable with each other scientometric methods of evaluation of the results of scientific and teaching activities. Despite the diversity of these techniques, there is a common thing among all of them, which is the disproportionate role of the h-index. The value of the Hirsch index starts to play an important role in the protection, when considering competitive cases for positions, as well as in determining the monthly rewards for the results of scientific and teaching activities. By itself, this index is well founded, theoretically. However, in connection with the practice of its application in our conditions, in the collective consciousness of the scientific community there was a kind of mania, which the authors call the "Hirschmania". This mania is characterized by elevated unhealthy interest to the value of the Hirsch index, as well as incorrect manipulation of its value, i.e. inadequate artificial exaggeration of this value, as well as a number of negative consequences of that interest. In this study we have made an attempt to construct a quantitative measure for assessing the extent of improper manipulation of the value of the Hirsch index, and offered a science-based modification of the h-index, insensitive (resistant) to the manipulation. The article presents a technique for all the numerical calculations, which is simple enough for any author to use
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn the article, a text is considered as a system, which includes both verbal and nonverbal subsystems of different levels of hierarchy. System generalization of the classical Shannon measure of information in text and a quantitative measure of the level of systematic text, called the "coefficient of emergence of Shannon", which is based on it, is proposed. This article shows mathematical relationship between the obtained coefficients of emergence of Hartley in 2002 and Shannon's proposed rate of emergence. It is shown that every object of cognition can be associated with a text reflecting its composition and structure. The process of learning from this perspective is seen as a process of constructing a text object models of learning and research process of these models. The definition of procedures for encryption and decryption, as well as quantitative measures of their effectiveness based on quantitative measures systematic texts is given. From this standpoint, the relationship of encryption and decryption with zipping and unzipping is shown. We propose a computer program for the numerical measurement of systemic and specific texts of the simulated systems and present some numerical examples in this article
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Description
The article discusses the application of automated system-cognitive analysis (ASC-analysis), its mathematical model is a system of information theory and implements, its software tools – intellectual system called "Eidos" for solving one of the important tasks of ampelography: to quantify the similarities and differences of different clones of grapes using contours of the leaves. To solve this task we perform the following steps: 1) digitization of scanned images of the leaves and creation their mathematical models; 2) formation mathematical models of specific leaves with the application of information theory; 3) modeling the generalized images of leaves of different clones on the basis of specific leaves (multiparameter typing); 4) verification of the model by identifying specific leaf images with generic clones, i.e., classes (system identification); 5) quantification of the similarities and differences of the clones, i.e. cluster-constructive analysis of generalized images of leaves of various clones. The specific shape of the contour of the leaf is regarded as noise information on the clone to which it relates, including information about the true shape of a leaf of this clone (clean signal) and noise, which distort the real shape, due to the random influence of the environment. Software tools of ASA-analysis which is intellectual "Eidos" system provides the noise suppression and the detection of a signal about the true shape of a leaf of each clone on the basis of a number of noisy concrete examples of the leaves of this clone. This creates a single image of the shape of the leaf of each clone, independent of their specific implementations, i.e. "Eidos" of these images (in the sense of Plato) - the prototype or archetype (in the Jungian sense) of the images
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QUANTITATIVE AUTOMATED SWOT AND PEST ANALYSIS USING ASC-ANALYSIS AND "EIDOS X++" INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS
DescriptionSWOT analysis is a widely known and generally accepted method of strategic planning. However, this does not preclude the fact that it’s been criticized, often quite fair and well-reasoned. A critical review of the SWOT analysis revealed quite a lot of his weaknesses (disadvantages), the source of which is the need to engage experts, in particular to assess the strength and direction of influence factors. It is clear that the experts do it by the informal (intuitive), on the basis of their professional experience and competence. But experts have their limitations and often for various reasons they can't and don't want to do it. Thus, the problem arises of the SWOT-analysis, without the involvement of experts. This problem can be solved through automation of the functions of the expert, i.e. by measuring the strength and direction of influence factors directly based on empirical data. This technology was developed long time ago, it is already 30 years old, it was named "Eidos". This article on real numerical examples describes in detail the possibility of automated quantitative SWOT analysis by means of ASC-analysis and intelligent systems of "Eidos X++" without help of experts, when the estimations are based directly on empirical data. We have also proposed a solution of direct and inverse problems of the SWOT analysis. PEST analysis has been considered as a SWOT analysis, with more detailed classification of external factors. Therefore, the conclusions obtained in this article on the example of SWOT analysis can be extended to PEST-analysis
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