name
Egoyan Alisa Valeryevna
Scholastic degree
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Academic rank
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Honorary rank
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Organization, job position
• Kuban State Agrarian University
Research interests
проблемы математической статистики, математической экономики, прогнозирование развития социально-экономических систем
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Articles count: 1
Сформировать список работ, опубликованных в Научном журнале КубГАУ
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METHODS OF WAVELET ANALYSIS AS A TOOL OF ECONOMIC SECURITY
Description
In the context of the objective existence of risk and economic, human and other losses related with it, there is a need in a specific mechanism, which would allow the best way to predict the damage caused by the emergency. These risk management tools in emergency situations are monitoring and forecasting. In this research work, time series are used as a signal; they contain information about the number of fires in the Karachayevo-Cherkessia in the period of 1983- 2014. In solving the problem, the authors applied wavelet tools for data cleaning from noise, anomalies that have provided quality model building reliable forecast - possible number of fires in one quarter ahead. This example shows that for the construction of this forecast there is no need for a rigorous mathematical model specification, which is especially valuable in the analysis of poorly formalized processes. We have noted that most of the tasks in emergencies fall into this category of processes
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