Central Economics and Mathematics Institute Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow
Author list of organization
List of articles written by the authors of the organization
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ADJUSTMENT OF THE ENTERPRISE’S IMITATION MODEL FOR THE ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY OF SMALL FIRMS
Description
The article presents a simulation modeling method which is applied to the development analysis of the microeconomic objects. Examination of the classical version of the simulation dynamic model E (Enterprise) intended for research of monoproduct enterprises with unchanged technology is conducted; the possibilities of its adaptation for small business objects and modifications to the imitation model of a small enterprise (IMSE) are proved. The dendrogram of the complex of possible IMSE modifications formed on the basis of the E model is presented, which allows describing the activity of small firms of different profiles and solving a wide range of tasks of their strategic planning and management. The proposed dendrogram is a conceptual framework for imitating modeling of small business objects
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ADAPTING THE METHODS MODULAR TESTING EXPERT ASSESSMENT QUALITY DESIGN INNOVATIVE SOFTWARE PRODUCTS
Description
Information of the world and national economies significantly alter the role and importance of expertise in enterprise activity. Expert evaluation of the quality of modern innovative software products is playing an increasingly important role in the justification of management decisions with their use. That is why the expert function is one of the most important and recognized not only in science but also in the practical production and business operations of many businesses. The article shows the possibility of adapting method unit testing as a tool for peer evaluation of the quality level of the development of innovative software products. The article covers application of criteria for coverage decisions and conditions, as well as a criterion of combinatorial coverage for the most complete set of tests and accurate expert assessments. The substantiation of the existence and validity of the use of the method of unit testing capabilities for expert assessments of innovative software products was also given. We have described the sequence of process of peer review for incremental (step by step), and non-incremental approach to testing of modern innovative software products, as well as identifying their strengths and weaknesses. It is concluded that the incremental approach is preferable to use the method of unit testing for the expert assessments of projects and programs for the creation of innovative products, services and technologies
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Description
Studying the problems of the development of Russian business education today seems urgent in view of the serious impact of globalization factors on world markets, as well as taking into account the factors of global economic recession and to the undeclared war sanctions restrictions against the Russian economy and not having under itself no justification other than political. The article presents the results of the analysis of positive and negative factors in the development of the Russian business education, because of which it was concluded, that for the further development of the Russian system of business education needs a new approach. It should be based on the formation of the conceptual model, taking into account the current realities in the Russian economy. The authors set out to become the key provisions of the new approach, namely to ensure the growth of professional and specialist competencies required functionality; the study of «effective practical techniques», a reasonable reduction of the duration of the MBA program of study; distribution of specialists trained in powers depending on their positions. The above provisions allowed forming a conceptual model of business education, which is based on four practical degree professional training laid. In addition, the article justified criteria for evaluating the quality and composition requirements for modern business education program. The proposed in the article new approach and the conceptual model of the development of Russian business education are targeted at practitioners who want to gain more knowledge in a limited period and very reasonable cost of education. The further development of the Russian business education system in the very near future will show the validity of this approach
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ANALYSIS OF PRICE SERIES USING HOLT’S INDICATOR OF STOCK MARKET
Description
The article is devoted to the development of an indicator to detect changes in the dynamics of stock price series that could lead to loss of optimality of the trading models parameters. Feature of the new tools of technical analysis is sensitive not only to the trend component securities prices, but also to the volatility of financial assets. In this work proposes the use of this indicator as part of risk management at the stock market, formulates practical advice on how to use and configure in conjunction with trading models.
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BTC: INNOVATIVE CURRENCY OR FINANCIAL CRIMES INSTRUMENT?
Description
The article describes definition of a new type of crypto currency and innovative payment system. It outlines the relevance in connection with the fact that Bitcoin is gaining popularity. For the first time in history Bitcoin exchange rate reached $ 4000 per token. It is noted that despite the growing popularity of Bitcoin, Russia's opinion about Bitcoin's official status is ambiguous: Bitcoin is not officially recognized, as a means of payment, and, at the same time, as noted in the official report of the Central Bank of Russia, is not prohibited. The main types of fraud using of crypto currency are listed. The negative consequences of the introduction of crypto currency into circulation have been studied and analyzed. The main advantages of Bitcoin are described: it is easy to use, reliable; its system is open and not subject to counterfeiting. The possibilities of its use for the financial crimes was analyzed. It describes positions of the leading countries of the world in relation to the legal status of Bitcoin. The main principles of the Bitcoin system operation are summarized and systemized; the main vulnerabilities and "weak spots" of Bitcoin are described with examples of the most known crimes in the world using virtual money. The BTC vulnerabilities are described in the article. This data, as well as a description of the main aspects of the Bitcoin practical essence, can be applied in practice as the basis for analysis to identify and prevent financial crimes using crypto currency
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Description
In the article process of interaction of real sector of economy and the share market on an example of Russia is considered. Sensitivity of the share market to the information factor in a stable and crisis phase of development is investigated; comparison of reaction to the information of the Russian and American market to use of dynamics of indexes of RTS and Dow Jones is carried out. The received results are based on methods of the correlation and graphic analysis
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Description
The article describes a new approach to the assessment of the economic system. The authors propose to assume that the system grows, if its share in the world production increases. For the qualitative assessment, we have offered to analyze the dynamics of growth of exports of products with high benefit to the foreign countries, which include engineering goods, defense, manufacturing materials. On the world market of hightech products, we have the stiff competition and the growth of exports of domestic products with high benefit indicates high level of innovation. Based on the analysis of available statistical data, we revealed a correlation between exports of innovative products, the volumes of financing research and development and foreign direct investment in the national economy. It was determined foreign capital has a negative impact on exports of products with high benefit. The authors proposed a two-factor regression model, which allows you to make short-term forecasts and allocate resources. The study showed that despite the ongoing economic sanctions and unsuccessful economic reforms in the past, Russia has a high potential for innovation, which is activated when reducing the influence of foreign capital. Attempts to isolate the Russian economic system led to the mobilization of resources and the growth of innovation activity of domestic business
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TOOLS FOR OPTIMIZING PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT TAKING INTO ACCOUNT PRICING MODELS
Description
The state of any economic system depends on the values of its parameters, both in the current period and at previous times. Therefore, in the process of optimization of production management, it is necessary to take into account this feature of the development of the systems under consideration. The most important task of economic research is the establishment of an equilibrium price. The most suitable hysteresis converters for solving this problem, the formal description of which is based on their operator interpretation. However, at present, when analyzing the functions of supply and demand, a cobweb-like model and its analogues are used, as a rule. This article discusses the unresolved problem of optimizing production under conditions of hysteresis pricing and competition. Taking into account that their mathematical modeling is the main method of analyzing economic systems with hysteresis properties, different pricing models (discrete and continuous) are considered in the article, as well as economic and mathematical tools for optimizing production activity under hysteresis pricing conditions. The developed models can be used to increase the adequacy of the formal mathematical description of the corresponding systems, which is the basis for more accurate forecasts of their development. In the conditions of hysteresis pricing, production optimization algorithms will allow to create optimal (in terms of achieving maximum profit) price and production strategies for the development of economic systems
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TOOLS FOR EXPERT EVALUATION OF THE IMPORT DEPENDENCY OF PRODUCTION
Description
In the article, we have considered indicators for assessing import dependency by key characteristics of industrial production (technology, raw materials, equipment). The work shows necessity of the transition from determining the level of import dependence for individual characteristics to determine its overall (integrated) assessment. It presents the criteria of evaluation of technical, technological, raw material import dependence of production. We have developed a model of calculation of the generalized indicators of evaluation of level of import dependency of production. The proposed Toolkit allows using an expert way to assess the level of import dependence of production of various types of products. In this comprehensive assessment, it takes into account the dependence of the acquired import of components, raw materials and borrowed technologies, and the extent of use of imported equipment. The use of indicators characterizing the degree of dependence of production on foreign technology and equipment is very important in the conditions of modernization and technical re-equipment of production
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Description
The practice of separate financing of projects of civil and defensive nature, which has been developed in Russia, requires, in the conditions of an aggravation of an international situation, increase in costs for carrying out researches and developments what to go a heavy burden on the federal budget. The analysis of international experience shows that industrially developed countries successfully solved this problem by means of distribution of dual-use technologies. The special effect is reached in space activities where dual-use technologies are widely used in the organization of communication, broadcasting and monitoring of the land surface. In the article, policy of usage of military technologies in civil sector of economy of the USA, Germany and China is analyzed. The policy of distribution of dual-use technologies leads to decrease in load of the budget and promotes attraction of a private equity in researches and developments. The main directions are conversion, sale of information from military companions to the commercial organizations and acquisition by military of information from commercial companions here. Backwardness of the market relations, impracticality of controlling mechanisms, developments and carrying out scientific and technical policy and other problems can become the main obstacle in a way to distribution of dual-use technologies in Russia. However, instability of the revenues of the Russian budget caused by volatility of the prices of energy resources and other external factors puts the most important priority of national economic policy development and distribution of double technologies
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