Central Economics and Mathematics Institute Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow
Author list of organization
List of articles written by the authors of the organization
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NEURO-FUZZY CONTROL MODEL OF AN INNOVATION-ACTIVE COMPANY MANAGEMENT
05.13.10 Management in social and economic systems
DescriptionThe article discusses the concept and the principles of the organization of neuro-fuzzy management of an innovation-active enterprise based on intelligent technologies and high-performance computing tools. The developed information model provides operational control of the current situations caused by innovations in the complex dynamic conditions of the changing market conditions. Particular attention is paid to solving the problem of planning operations and developing management decisions when implementing the principle of competition in the face of uncertainty and incompleteness of the initial information. The developed software implementation of the fuzzy ranking of management solutions options is publicly available on ws-dss.com
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STRATEGY OF RETRO INNOVATIONS IN IMPORT SUBSTITUTION
08.00.13 Mathematical and instrumental methods of Economics
DescriptionUnfavorable changes in exchange rates, sanctions restrictions on the supply to Russia of spare parts necessary for the repair and maintenance of previously imported equipment have led to a significant reduction in the service life of imported machinery and equipment. For the solution, the authors propose to implement the strategy of retro-innovations providing the development of new technologies maintaining in working condition of machinery and equipment in conditions of shortage of spare parts and consumables. To do this, it is necessary to develop technologies for the restoration of complex technical devices in order to extend their service life under the restrictions created by the financial market and sanctions policy. The study of the problem was carried out on the example of the operation of trucks of foreign production, the evaluation of engine life and analyzed the structure of the market. On the basis of the obtained results, a model was proposed, on the basis of which it is possible to form a plan for the production of spare parts for high-quality engine repair by domestic enterprises. The strategy of retro-innovations does not solve all the problems of import substitution, but it allows to increase the level of economic security of strategically important economic activities, it creates jobs and provides an opportunity to significantly extend the life of expensive and complex technical devices
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08.00.13 Mathematical and instrumental methods of Economics
DescriptionIn modern economic theory, there is no complete classification of innovative approaches to the management of knowledge-intensive and high-tech companies and enterprises. Among these approaches, we can highlight situational, structural, process, functional and project-based approaches. The project-oriented approach, as a purposeful method of future systems forming, is a kind of continuation of the process approach; however, it gives priority not to the process, but to the project, as the main production, innovation and competing business unit. This article provides a brief overview of carried out research in this subject area, analyzes the advantages and opportunities of existing project management validity models, and suggests the author's approach of building a model for identifying and evaluating the potential of modern project-oriented companies and enterprises. This article also shows that the economic efficiency of such companies and enterprises achieving by using the project-based method both in the integrated system of strategic management and in the main production activities. This leads to an increase in their ability to choose the right way of operational decision-making, contributes to the installation of advanced technological and technical equipment, and accelerates the commissioning of new production facilities
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Description
We have considered the most important direction of development of enterprises of the military-industrial complex: modernizing production capacity and technical re-equipment of these enterprises. The relevance of this issue in recent years has increased significantly due to changes in the terms of military development (economic hardship, sanctions, etc.). We have developed an economic-mathematical model of the choice between modernization and radical technical re-equipment of enterprises. The article has an analysis of this model taking into account the financial factors in this choice. The use of the developed economic-mathematical apparatus in practice allows increasing the efficiency of technological development of enterprises of the military-industrial complex
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TOOLS FOR OPTIMIZING PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT TAKING INTO ACCOUNT PRICING MODELS
DescriptionThe state of any economic system depends on the values of its parameters, both in the current period and at previous times. Therefore, in the process of optimization of production management, it is necessary to take into account this feature of the development of the systems under consideration. The most important task of economic research is the establishment of an equilibrium price. The most suitable hysteresis converters for solving this problem, the formal description of which is based on their operator interpretation. However, at present, when analyzing the functions of supply and demand, a cobweb-like model and its analogues are used, as a rule. This article discusses the unresolved problem of optimizing production under conditions of hysteresis pricing and competition. Taking into account that their mathematical modeling is the main method of analyzing economic systems with hysteresis properties, different pricing models (discrete and continuous) are considered in the article, as well as economic and mathematical tools for optimizing production activity under hysteresis pricing conditions. The developed models can be used to increase the adequacy of the formal mathematical description of the corresponding systems, which is the basis for more accurate forecasts of their development. In the conditions of hysteresis pricing, production optimization algorithms will allow to create optimal (in terms of achieving maximum profit) price and production strategies for the development of economic systems
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Description
The article examines the problems of innovative development of various types of rocket and space technology, created with use of high technologies, industrial, scientific-technical and intellectual potentials. The relevance of these issues due to the need of modernization of the Russian economy in the long term. In the course of the study using the mathematical tools offered the important task of improving the scientific and methodological framework intended for implementation of innovative strategies in the field of space activities that help to improve the degree of feasibility of plans and programs to create high-tech products and services for various purposes. The article analyzes the features of the plans for the creation and production of advanced rocket and space technology, their impact on the pace and quality of exploration and use of outer space, which is determined using a simulation model and applying methods of program-targeted planning
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IMPROVING TOOLS FOR ASSESSMENT OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE MILITARYINDUSTRIAL COMPLEX
DescriptionThe modernization of the military-industrial complex of Russia is accomplished by the implementation of the program of its development. Implementation of these measures requires scientific and methodological support. However, the tools help you solve this problem, using modern mathematical methods with a focus on practical use in the form of methods and economic and mathematical models, to date, not fully developed. The article is devoted to the development of tools for assessment of activities of the militaryindustrial complex The proposed models and algorithms are based on the production rules of inference of fuzzy logic and process variables to a fuzzy mind by assigning confidence factors. The prioritization of activities proposed to be carried out by ranking these factors
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ADJUSTMENT OF THE ENTERPRISE’S IMITATION MODEL FOR THE ANALYSIS OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY OF SMALL FIRMS
DescriptionThe article presents a simulation modeling method which is applied to the development analysis of the microeconomic objects. Examination of the classical version of the simulation dynamic model E (Enterprise) intended for research of monoproduct enterprises with unchanged technology is conducted; the possibilities of its adaptation for small business objects and modifications to the imitation model of a small enterprise (IMSE) are proved. The dendrogram of the complex of possible IMSE modifications formed on the basis of the E model is presented, which allows describing the activity of small firms of different profiles and solving a wide range of tasks of their strategic planning and management. The proposed dendrogram is a conceptual framework for imitating modeling of small business objects
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TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER MODELS BETWEEN THE DEFENSE AND CIVIL SECTOR OF ECONOMY
08.00.13 Mathematical and instrumental methods of Economics
DescriptionThe article considers the problem of increasing the efficiency of budget expenditures due to the transfer of military technology to the civilian sector of the economy. An analysis of foreign experience has shown that private companies are widely involved in a number of states to solve some of the infrastructure problems in the military sphere. In the USA, private companies provide communications and provide other information services to state power structures, which makes it possible to develop private business on the one hand and save budget expenses on the other. An analysis of domestic experience has shown that the use of military technologies for the production of civilian products and services in some cases can significantly save time and other resources. A model for the interaction of civilian companies with the defense complex and a diffusion model of military technologies have been developed. The article proposes creation of new structures that solve the problems of adapting military technologies to the requirements of civilian customers, as well as a database of adapted technologies and a technical investment center that supports small and medium-sized enterprises in the acquisition of equipment and technical documentation. The authors believe that the approaches proposed in the article to solving the problem of technology transfer will stimulate innovative activity in the country, reduce import dependence and increase the efficiency of budget expenditures
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Description
The main factors influencing the innovative development of the domestic science-intensive sector of the economy, were identified and studied in the work. The authors singled out two groups of factors, internal and external, determining their composition and interrelationship. The paper focuses on one of the segments of the knowledge-intensive market of products and services - space activities. In the postwar period, Russia firmly maintained leadership in virtually all areas of the industry, however, economic and political reforms intensified the negative impact of financial and economic factors, which significantly retarded the technological development of the space industry. The paper studies the influence of environmental, technological, financial, economic and other factors affecting the development of knowledgebased enterprises. A graphical and economicmathematical multi-factor model for the innovative development of knowledge-intensive enterprises involved in the implementation of space programs is constructed. The methods of expert assessments determined the influence of each factor on the development of space activities: - the production of launch vehicles, space vehicles, ground-based space technology and the provision of services. The received estimations of influence of factors will find application at formation of programs of innovative development of the high technology enterprises