Institute of monitoring for climatic and ecological systems SB RAS
Author list of organization
List of articles written by the authors of the organization
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11.00.00 Geographical sciences
Description
With ongoing climatic changes in the background the tendency to increase the frequency and intensity of manifestations of natural hazards in more parts of the Russian Federation has been observed. The agricultural nature management is most sensitive and reliant on natural factors capable to cause it an extensive material damage. Thereby a detailed study of the natural hazards and risks, which can put the greatest negative consequences for conducting agricultural activity, is required. Analysis and visualization of spatial-temporal dynamics of the unfavorable climatic phenomena can be successfully implemented through modern geographical methods – GIS-technology. In proposed study, the software product ArcGIS as the basic working tool has been chosen, which allowed integrating into a single information environment the electronic spatial oriented maps and databases. In the capacity of model object, which is clearly demonstrating efficiency of the use of GIS-technologies, in the article the territory of the southern taiga of Western Siberia is presented. The currently compiled GIS project by a team provide a formation procedure of the geodatabase by types of natural hazards, a digital cartographic basis and the process of filling the attribute tables necessary data and information with a detailed quantitative characteristic. The multi-aspect spatio-temporal analysis of the agro-climatic parameters with the use of GIS technology, has allowed characterizing the southern taiga of Western Siberia as the territory with rather high extent of manifestation of dangers of natural character. The resume on the rational use of GIS technology for a comprehensive quantitative assessment and integrated regional analysis of agricultural risks of natural origin are proved
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INTEGRAL ANALYSIS OF FOREST MANAGEMENT RISKS IN THE TAIGA ZONE OF THE WESTERN SIBERIA
11.00.00 Geographical sciences
Description
In the article, the unified approach to the risk assessment of forest management founded the integrated analysis both a degree of natural-climatic danger and a magnitude of the resource and ecological potentials is offered. On the example of the Tomsk area, the algorithm for the risk forest management calculation is approved by the author. The analysis allowed identifying the areas to a variable degree of prepotency of certain natural-climatic hazards
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EVALUATION OF BIOCLIMATIC RESOURCES OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF WESTERN SIBERIA
11.00.00 Geographical sciences
Description
Calculation and analysis of spatial and temporal distribution of climatic resources of Western Siberia are presented in the article. Basic bioclimatic indexes are the effective temperature, equivalent-effective temperature, index of Bodman. The authors show particular climatic conditions in Siberia and reveal a comfort zone. Effective temperature, equivalent-effective temperature, index of Bodman on the territory of Western Siberia has a large spatial and temporal heterogeneity
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06.00.00 Agricultural sciences
Description
Currently, personal subsidiary farms (PSF) have an important place in solving of the food security problem in some regions and the country as a whole. The organization of optimal and sustainable management strategy of maintenance for PSF should be planned according to the study of functioning of PSF. The authors propose a unified methodical approach for complex accounting of energy costs of external and internal flows involved in the production of agricultural products. Comparative energy characteristic of the functioning of the two personal subsidiary farms located in the Tomsk oblast and having different socio-economic and climatic conditions is presented in the article. Both farms are located in the taiga zone of Western Siberia. Calculations of the energy content of all the incoming and outgoing flows involved in the economic activities of PSF showed that the flow of technogenicanthropogenic energy is the most energy-intensive for both farms. Some conformity in the energy structure of consumption of their own product takes place despite the different types of stockbreeding specialization. An assessment of the level of selfsufficiency in food has shown that more favourable socio-economic conditions create preconditions for an increase of the anthropogenic flow. While PSF located in remote areas are forced to conduct of business activities with maximum using of natural resource potential
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FENOLOGICAL VARIABILITY OF TREES AND SHRUBS IN TOMSK
Description
The analysis of phenological phenomena of 9 tree and shrub species and longevity of their vegetation activity was made in Tomsk (southeastern West Siberian Plain). Since 1969 until 2013 the start of the phenological phenomena in the trees and shrubs became to be earlier and the end did to be later. Trends of the start of birch juice moving and flowering is higher (–2.5–3.4 days/decade) than trends of leave appearance, yellowing and falling (+2.5–1.3 days/decade) in the trees and shrubs. Dates of the start of the phonological stages and the sums of accumulated positive temperatures high correlate between each other. The period of their general vegetation activity increased by 20 days and active vegetation activity did by 7 days
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