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Description
The article presents the results of the analysis of sheep & goat pox and peste des petits ruminants worldwide emergence and spread spatial & temporal characteristics and patterns; the authors carried out zoning of the world areas for the infections emergence risk levels and their probable intensity rates in the period of 2011 to 2015
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Description
In this article, the problem of short-range forecasting of value and dynamics of economical indexes of diversified corporation is stated, on the basis of application of systemic-cognitive analysis and its tooling (intellectual system "Eidos") the formal problem definition and data domain formalization, i.e. development of classification and descriptive dials and graduations and shaping of training sample is performed
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Description
In this article, the routine of synthesis of four models of the corporation, different by frequent measure of correlation between past indexes of the factories entering into corporation and the future statuses of corporation as a whole is featured, verification of all private models with utilization of two integral measure is fabricated, forecasting of the future statuses of corporation on their system of determination is performed
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THE FOUNDATIONS FOR PROGNOSES METHODOLOGY AND FOR INFORMATION SYSTEM EFFICIENCY ESTIMATION
DescriptionThe methodological, theoretical and applied aspects of making prognoses and estimation of information systems efficiency are under consideration in the paper. These ones are based on the original models of the principal constitutive of human factor, those are the preferences in the form of the matrix mechanisms of the complex estimating with the enlarged functional possibilities
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Description
In this article application of a new method of an artificial intellect is examined: systemic-cognitive analysis and its toolkit - "Eidos" system are used for an estimation of level of nonspecific resistance of an organism of patient on the basis of the preoperative information about it received by a method of cardio respiratory synchronism (CRS) and forecasting of duration of the postoperative rehabilitation period on this basis. In the 1st part of the given article it is considered: entering in a problem, the generalized structure of "Eidos" system, cognitive structurization of a data domain, data domain formalization, preparation of training sample, semantic information model synthesis, a raise of performance and verification (reliability estimation) of the given model
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Description
In this article application of a new method of an artificial intellect is examined: systemic-cognitive analysis and its toolkit - "Eidos" system are used for an estimation of level of nonspecific resistance of an organism of patient on the basis of the preoperative information about it received by a method of cardio respiratory synchronism (CRS) and forecasting of duration of the postoperative rehabilitation period on this basis. In the 2nd part of the article it is considered: forecasting and decision support of problem solving, including shaping and an output of informational portraits of classes, worth of factors and their value for forecasting and decision making problem solving, outputs are made, outlooks are planned, hypotheses are stated
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FORECASTING ESTIMATIONS OF ECO-LOGICAL CONSEQUENCES OF FRESHET ACTIVITY IN POOL OF THE RIVER KUBAN
DescriptionIn the article estimations of catastrophic flooding for the last years are given, and also the actions planned for prospect on unwater are given protec-tion. Damages from flooding are estimated in eco-nomic and ecological terms
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Description
In this article, problems of multiparameter fuzzy systems’ state forecasting are reviewed. The algorithm of selection of the equipment on significant parameters of the engine is given
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06.00.00 Agricultural sciences
DescriptionThe method and results of forecasting of crops of agricultural crops in the Rostov region on reclamated lands are resulted. The method is based on use of dependence of crops of agricultural crops from agro meteorological factors. Results of calculation on planning crops of winter wheat at irrigation are shown