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QUANTITATIVE MODELS AND METHODS OF RISKS EVALUATION IN AGRO-INDUSTRIAL INTEGRATED PRODUCTION SYSTEMS
Description
Results of researches on quantitative evaluation of agro-industrial integrated production systems (IPS) risks with the regard of influence of external and internal media are described in this article. Particularly, quantitative method of calculation of integrated risk indexes of unfavorable influence of external medium on integrated production systems; model of determination of IPS effectiveness on the base of worked out models of calculation of integrated risk indexes and an equipment of slipshod great numbers theory; improved model of IPS effectiveness evaluation with the regard of risk component part on the stage of material flow creation have been described.
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Description
The article shows the outcomes of the solution of the problem of making of complex determined and sto-chastic models for optimizing such arguments of in-ventory management in technologically integrated manufacturing system, as an amount of cycles of deliveries, bulks of initial material and financial streams, safety stock bulks. Examination was con-ducted on a federated system instance on produc-tion, rehash and embodying of commodity from grain wheat (corn) with complete fabrication cycle
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Description
Results of internal environment integrated production system research with the point of view of qualitative analysis and risk evaluation were casted in the article. In particular, model and method of calculation of integral index of production vertical line risk and improved data-flow model of effectiveness assessment of IPS with an account of risk constituent on the stage of creation of material flow are described. Reasonability of presentation of prognostic meaning of profit in the type of indistinct triangular number was substantiated.
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Description
With development of integration processes in agro- industrial complex there was an opportunity of decrease of a sugar sub complex dependence on import of raw materials and development of its own raw-material base. Ways of development of integrated industrial system of a sugar sub complex (IIS SS) of agro-industrial complex became certain. Three models of its development are presented. Necessity of integration in a sugar sub complex of agro- industrial complex was substantiated. Integration promotes decrease in costs under production and processing of sugar beets, causing that not only minimization of organizational costs, but also the necessity of introduction of innovative technologies by producers. In the IIS SS there is a necessity to create the selling service (marketing service, etc.) which promotes increase in its profit. Consolidation (merger) of industrial systems in a sugar sub complex should be a controlled process of FAS.
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THEORETICAL GROUNDS OF IMPROVEMENT OF INTEGRATED PRODUCTION SYSTEMS ACTIVITY
Description
The historical excursus of home integration making, its role in present time and necessity of development on state level are given in this article as well. The main meaning of integrated production systems forms and their nature are disclosed.
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