name
Gureev Kirill Aleksandrovich
Scholastic degree
•
Academic rank
associated professor
Honorary rank
—
Organization, job position
• Moscow technological institute
Research interests
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Articles count: 1
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MODELING THE DYNAMICS OF THE MARKET SYSTEM
Description
In the modern conditions of dynamic development of the market system, the economy, feeling polynomial enthusiasm and recessions, demands external influence, regulation, management. It isn't possible to realize an effective control system of economy without understanding of a consequence. The regulating structure represented by the state needs an effective system of the support of decision-making allowing to estimate the consequences of the made decisions before their direct realization. Use of modern methods of complex estimation for modeling of market system on the basis of trees of criteria and matrixes of convolution allows forming a static market model in the form of the functions of sensitivity interpreted as curves of supply and demand. However, the questions of creation of dynamic market system on the basis of these mechanisms weren't discussed so far. In this article the questions of possibility of modeling of dynamics of the market system built on the basis of mechanisms of complex estimation are discussed. Relevance of the chosen method depends on the possibility of preliminary formation of possible outcomes of an event in the form of the count on definition further of probability of transition to each of states on the basis of a complex assessment of the individual of "advantage" of such transition. An additional benefit of such approach is that fact that when forming market system from some contingent of participants with different behavior models for each of them there is an opportunity to create the scenario, and when receiving at a stage of modeling of result to reconsider the new created structure of structure of society
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