Поиск статей
-
QUANTITATIVE MODELS AND METHODS OF RISKS EVALUATION IN AGRO-INDUSTRIAL INTEGRATED PRODUCTION SYSTEMS
Description
Results of researches on quantitative evaluation of agro-industrial integrated production systems (IPS) risks with the regard of influence of external and internal media are described in this article. Particularly, quantitative method of calculation of integrated risk indexes of unfavorable influence of external medium on integrated production systems; model of determination of IPS effectiveness on the base of worked out models of calculation of integrated risk indexes and an equipment of slipshod great numbers theory; improved model of IPS effectiveness evaluation with the regard of risk component part on the stage of material flow creation have been described.
-
Description
Model and method of calculation of integral index of influence of external environment of integrated production system were considered and interaction of given index with choice of optimal strategy of business-system development was shown in the article. Results of approbation of worked out model and method were casted.
-
ESTIMATION OF ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF LLC “KASNODARTRANSGAS” TECHNOLOGICAL PROCESSES
Description
Applied methods of estimation of environmental impact of technological processes of gas preparation for trunk transportation at transnational organization are laid out
-
Description
Results of internal environment integrated production system research with the point of view of qualitative analysis and risk evaluation were casted in the article. In particular, model and method of calculation of integral index of production vertical line risk and improved data-flow model of effectiveness assessment of IPS with an account of risk constituent on the stage of creation of material flow are described. Reasonability of presentation of prognostic meaning of profit in the type of indistinct triangular number was substantiated.
-
Description
An example of expert analysis method of preventive and corrective actions of a major gas transmission company, aimed at environmental improvement has been shown
-
Description
In this article the size of material stream in bread-production chain with use of the theory of indistinct sets and application of risk component is predicted, the interval model of definition of efficiency is developed
-
Description
Principles of construction and stages of programming complex on analysis and risks assessment at the enterprises of agro-industrial complex, including design of general architecture of programming complex, logical structure of programming models, being the part of programming complex, physical structure of programming complex on the level of file system and algorithm of functioning of complex software are considered in the article.
-
PROGNOSIS OF RISKS OF CAR INSURANCE KASKO WITH THE APPLICATION OF SYSTEMIC-COGNITIVE ANALYSIS
Description
Application of systemic-cognitive analysis and its programming set of instruments of the system “AIDOS” for synthesis of a semantic informational model, taking into account the influence of different factors on sums of insurance payments of car insurance KASKO and use of this model for prognosis of insurance payments sums is described in the article.
-
Description
The results of application of systemic-cognitive analysis for prognosis of risks of traffic accidents and sums of insurance payments in the system of compulsory auto insurance are described in the article.
-
SYNTHESIS OF SCORING MODEL BY THE METHOD OF SYSTEMIC-COGNITIVE ANALYSIS
Description
The urgent problem of prognosis of crediting risks of physical persons are considered and ways of set task decision are offered in the article. The possible variants of formalization of subject field are considered and there was formed the training fetch on the base of which the synthesis of scoring model by the method of systemic-cognitive analysis is conducted. The possible variants of optimization of its quality: increase of prognosis authenticity and decrease of different types of errors are considered in the article as well.
pdf 283.284kb
doc 283.284kb