01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
-
FORECASTING THE WATER LEVEL IN A RIVER WITH THE ABRUPT FALLING WATER BASED ON KALMAN-BUSY FILTRATION
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe technique of short-term forecasting of the water level in a vein of a mountain type river, based on a method of Kalman-Busy filtration in the make assumption of natural simplifications, characterized for natural objects is offered
-
ABOUT THE METHODOLOGY OF STATISTICAL METHODS
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe purpose of the article - to justify the need to develop the methodology of statistical methods as an independent scientific direction. The models of mathematician and applied specialist are presented. We have obtained the conclusions on teaching and research and discussed five major unsolved problems of statistical methods: the effect of deviations from the traditional prerequisites; use asymptotic results for finite sample sizes; selecting one of the many specific tests for the hypothesis; organization of theoretical work in the field of statistical methods; conduct applied research and teaching of statistical methods
-
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn this article we propose a method that uses the apparatus of the theory of fuzzy sets, together with the five-factor model of Altman in assessing the creditworthiness of an enterprise. Altman's model works in two ways: It applies the root mean square (RMS) integral approximation for the exact calculation of quantitative assessment of creditworthiness (probability of bankruptcy), and using the device of fuzzy sets for ordered sets by the degree of confidence in the resulting probability. In this paper we conducted simulation procedure for the credit assessment and showed the capabilities of the model. The model input parameters , forms system inputs (input variables), allowing you to get the value of the parameter z of Altman. With the help of Altman's model, approximating function L6, the decision function I(p) and the algorithm for calculating preference we obtain the number of the set i to which belongs a number of ordered sets as fuzzy logic . On the selected simulation parameters, stable statistics can be obtained. Altman's model with the use of computational function allows real values of the input parameters of the enterprise replaced by random values of the simulation model. This technique allows, as shown by the results of computational experiments, the creditor to obtain additional information on the creditworthiness of the investigated enterprise and make a more informed conclusion about its financial condition, which speeds up the decision on the possibility of issuing the required credit. The development of method of estimating fuzzy logic can be applied to other models of assessing the creditworthiness of a company: Davydov's model, Zaitseva's, Saifullina's, Kadykova's and others with appropriate modification
-
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThis work is a continuation of [1], which was devoted to the investigation of the hydrodynamics of the experimental electrochemical cell with rotating disk cation exchange membrane. This article focuses on the transport of salt ions in a closed cell at different initial experimentation with modes of exact current regimes. The main regularities of transport of salt ions and membrane equal accessible surface were set
-
MATHEMATICAL METHODS OF CLASSIFICATION THEORY
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThis article gives a review of mathematical methods of construction and using of classifications. The main approaches to solving the problems of cluster analysis and grouping are discussed. We have also proposed global and local natural classification criteria. The methods of discriminant analysis (diagnosis, pattern recognition with the teacher) are discussed in connection with the construction of generalized indicators (ratings)
-
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe phenomenon of electro convection in membrane systems is of considerable interest, because it is, according to many authors, the main mechanism of overlimiting mass transfer. A great number of theoretical and experimental works, in which, as a rule, dimensional values were used, are devoted to electro convection study. Because of that, in actual fact, there is investigated the influence of individual factors on the transfer process. For example, the influence of voltage jumps, the average speed of a forced stream of the solution, the geometric characteristics of the channel, the initial concentration, etc. However, the influence of these factors appears not separately, at the same time. Thus, there is the problem of introducing dimensionless complexes of dimensional values that have a physical meaning and that allow to evaluate the inner links of the process. As it is known, for solving that problem, there is applied a theory of similarity, based on the transition towards dimensionless parameters in equations and formulas describing the process, and using values, typical of the system under study. This work is devoted to the determining of physical meaning of similarity criteria of salt ions processes, taking into account electro convection in the desalting channel of electro dialysis apparatus. The channel is bounded with perfectly selective, homogeneous anion-exchange and cation-exchange membranes. The introduced similarity criteria are used so as to conduct the theoretical study of the effect of a number of parameters of a desalting process on electro convection
-
THE SPEED OF GRAVITY AND HYPER-FAST TRAVEL IN GENERAL RELATIVITY
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe equation of parabolic type, describing the evolution of the gravitational field on the scale of the solar system, galaxy and cluster galaxies is derived from the Einstein equation. Space-time metric compatible with the post-Newtonian approximation and the metric of the expanding universe, and allowing hyper-fast travel in Einstein's theory of gravitation is considered. It is shown that the speed of hyper-fast travel depends on the implementation, including the parameters of ground state of the expanding universe. A criterion for the maximum speed of motion of material bodies has been proposed
-
MULTIFORMITY OF OBJECTS OF NON-NUMERICAL NATURE
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn accordance with the new paradigm of mathematical statistics the statistics of objects of nonnumerical nature (statistics of nonnumerical objects, non-numerical data statistics, non-numeric statistics) is one of the four main areas of mathematical statistics. Statistics of objects of nonnumerical nature consists of a central core - statistics in spaces of arbitrary nature - and statistical theories of analysis of specific types of non-numeric data. To identify possibilities of application of statistics of objects of nonnumerical nature it is useful to explore the multiformity of objects of non-numeric nature. This is the subject of this article. We have considered the results of measurements at scales other than absolute; binary relations; dichotomous (binary) data; sets. We have also analyzed the objects of non-numerical nature as statistical data, and their importance in the formation of statistical or mathematical model of a real phenomenon, as a result of data analysis
-
ADDITIVE-MULTIPLICATIVE MODEL FOR RISK ESTIMATION IN THE PRODUCTION OF ROCKET AND SPACE TECHNICS
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionFor the first time we have developed a general additive-multiplicative model of the risk estimation (to estimate the probabilities of risk events). In the two-level system in the lower level the risk estimates are combined additively, on the top – in a multiplicative way. Additive-multiplicative model was used for risk estimation for (1) implementation of innovative projects at universities (with external partners), (2) the production of new innovative products, (3) the projects for creation of rocket and space equipmen
-
GRAVITATIONAL WAVES AND STATIONARY STATES OF QUANTUM AND CLASSICAL SYSTEMS
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn this paper, we consider gravitation theory in multidimensional space. The model of the metric satisfying the basic requirements of quantum theory is proposed. It is shown that gravitational waves are described by the Liouville equation and the Schrodinger equation as well. The solutions of the Einstein equations describing the stationary states of arbitrary quantum and classical systems with central symmetry have been obtained. Thus, it is proved that atoms and atomic nuclei can be represented as standing gravitational waves