№ 116(2), February, 2016
Public date: 29.02.2016
Archive of journal: Articles count 106, 245 kb
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THE USE OF CORRELATION ANALYSIS IN AIC SUGAR INDUSTRY (PART 2 – CROSSCORRELATE)
DescriptionThis article is devoted to the practical application of economic-mathematical methods (based on correlation analysis) to control the economic parameters of the integrated production systems sugar subcomplex (IPS SS) AIC oriented to meet the needs in the sugar production of the population not only of individuals, but also of the regions and the country as a whole. This article discusses and solves the following tasks: autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions, cross-correlation function (correlation matrix) study of deciduous macroeconomics series, with appropriate verification (test) Durbin - Watson. The study used Statistica, MS Excel and Xlstat add-in. The work describes experiments with various kinds of nonstationary time series of the agricultural sector and food industry sugar subcomplex, as well as the test results on the difficulty of communication between them. We have identified industry-high cycles. The article presents results of numerical experiments autocorrelation of the time series of sugar production, acreage, gross harvest and yield of sugar beet and sugar cane, by country. Systematically, we describe ideas and methods underlying the correlation analysis. We have given the evaluation of the results of correlation analysis on each type. Further, it can be assumed that the proposed techniques will greatly affect a key points when making recommendations for new models of production of sugar products, market-oriented – this will minimize the time and cost of the finished product that will make a more stable position in the sector for this integrated production system in relation to its competition
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Description
This article is devoted to the practical application of economic-mathematical methods (based on correlation analysis) to control the economic parameters of the integrated production systems sugar subcomplex (IPS SS) AIC oriented to meet the needs in the sugar production of the population not only of individuals, but also of the regions and the country as a whole. This article discusses and solves the following tasks: autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation functions, cross-correlation function (correlation matrix) study of deciduous macroeconomics series, with appropriate verification (test) Durbin - Watson. The study used Statistica, MS Excel and Xlstat add-in. The work describes experiments with various kinds of nonstationary time series of the agricultural sector and food industry sugar subcomplex, as well as the test results on the difficulty of communication between them. We have identified industry-high cycles. The article presents results of numerical experiments autocorrelation of the time series of sugar production, acreage, gross harvest and yield of sugar beet and sugar cane, by country. Systematically, we describe ideas and methods underlying the correlation analysis. We have given the evaluation of the results of correlation analysis on each type. Further, it can be assumed that the proposed techniques will greatly affect a key points when making recommendations for new models of production of sugar products, market-oriented – this will minimize the time and cost of the finished product that will make a more stable position in the sector for this integrated production system in relation to its competition
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Description
The article describes typical investigatory situations on initial stage of the investigation, we have given the peculiarities of the situations in crimes against the family and the structure of the investigative action on each of them
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LIMIT THEOREMS IN STATISTICAL CONTROL
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe article analyzes the development of the theory of statistical control (from the XVIII century to the present). Prof. M.V. Ostrogradskii (1846) clearly describes the practical needs (ie, arising from the quality assurance of large quantities of bags of flour or pieces of cloth), to meet whom he spent his research. At the same time Simpson was among the ideas of probability theory XVIII century. Therefore prof. M.V. Ostrogradskii may be regarded as the founder of the theory of statistical process control (not only in our country but all over the world). Limit theorems of probability theory and mathematical statistics have provided a number of asymptotic results in problems of statistical quality control, offer based on these best practices. However, we must find out how much interest among specialists characteristics are different from limit for finite sample sizes. Such research for the synthesis algorithm control plan on the basis of the limit average output level of defects is made in this article, and for the synthesis algorithm control plan on the basis of the acceptance and the rejection levels of defects - not yet (clarification of the conditions of applicability of this algorithm - unsolved problem of applied mathematics). We have briefly reviewed the development of our researches on the statistical control. Control units can be not only some units of production, but also documents (with internal and external audit), and standard units of air, water and soil in the environmental monitoring. One of the achievements can be regarded as the transfer of statistical control of production for environmental monitoring
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06.00.00 Agricultural sciences
DescriptionThere were reviewed the results of the study of the dependence of main phenological phases of development of corn hybrids of different maturity groups of the selection of Krasnodar Research Institute of Agriculture named after P.P. Lukyanenko in the arid zone of Central Ciscaucasia (Ross 199, Ross 299, Krasnodar 382 and Krasnodar 410) and the AllRussian Research Institute of Corn (Mashuk 170, Newton, RIC 345 and Eric), as well as early-middle Rossiyskaya 1 from the changes of average daily air temperature of planting dates and preplant seed treatment by the preparation "TMTD-plus", containing the growth promoter called Krezatsin in its composition. The studies were conducted in accordance with the thematic plan of scientific researches of the department of crop and forage production of Stavropol State Agrarian University. The technology of maize growing on the experimental plot corresponds to the standard technology for this area and culture. The sowing was performed in three stages. The first (early) sowing period was at t = + 7 ... +8 ° C. The second (recommended) – was at t = + 10 ... + 12 ° C. The third (later) sowing period was at t = +15 ° C. There was identified a high inverse correlation between the average daily air temperature and the duration of the intraphase periods of maize propagation. Thus, at the shifting of maize sowing dates with the second half of May on the second half of April we have optimization of heat regime in the generative period and rising of the efficiency of use of thermal resources of the region. There was marked the acceleration of development of corn seedlings when the average daily air temperatures was up to 12 ° C at the samples with the application of the disinfectant TMTD-plus
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PARLIAMENTARY CONTROL: NOTION AND APPOINTMENT
DescriptionThe present article is devoted to the institute of the Parliament control in Russian Federation, its role and importance in the structure of functions of the Parliament of Russia. The authors of the article analyze the different approaches to the notion of the Parliament control in the theory of constitutional law, in federal and regional legislation. The author’s definition of the Parliament control is formulated. The focus on the necessity of the clear setting of the present term in the present legislation of the Russian Federation is made. In the article there were reflected the ways of the Parliament control, there were given their characteristics. The authors state the key and secondary aims of the Parliament control set in the federal law. In the article there was given the characteristics of the principles of the Parliament control set in the federal law. The authors offer to extend the list of present principles of the Parliament control with the aim of the deeper understanding of its essence. The authors pay to the special attention to the role and the importance of the institute of the Parliament control in the Russian Federation, its influence on the development of the legal civil society in Russia. The special role of the Parliament as a representative institution of the people expressed its role. The assessment of the effectiveness of the execution of the Parliament control by the Russian Parliament on the modern stage of the country’s development is given. The problems of the trends of the improvement of the Parliament control are touched
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EVALUATION OF THE CURRENT STATE OF HORTICULTURE AND THE PRIORITIES TO IMPROVING ITS EFFECTIVENESS
DescriptionCurrent horticulture is a complex system of fruit crops cultivation based on the integrated using of material, labor, natural and financial resources. Horticulture is an important part of agriculture because of the high nutritional value of its products. The fruits are used fresh and as raw material for canning, wine and other industries. Modern methods of processing and freezing of products are making possible to save its nutritional value and extend the period of consumption. The main problem of the horticultural industry is providing the population with fresh, high quality fruits and products of their processing. Horticulture is in a state of dynamic changes associated with the economic situation in the region. The authors assessed the current status of horticulture in the Republic of Tajikistan, revealed the problems in the functioning of the industry in the current economic conditions. As a result of scientific investigation the authors have proved the impact of the financial-credit, tax, price factors, level of competition, investment policy. The authors identified promising directions of improving the efficiency of horticulture and found the advantages of intensive technology of fruit crops cultivation. The implementation of these arrangements will help to ensure the country's food security and agricultural development
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Description
Assessment of activity of process, in the first instance – this is a set operations the selection nomenclature of exponents and their definition of values and their comparison with basic exponents. Relating to scientific institute performance evaluation of the scientific and technical activities – this is definition of qualitative criteria evaluation of this activities, their quantitative reflection, as also relative assessment of their dynamics. In article considered questions assessment of scientific and technical and innovative activity in relation to branch of fruit growing, and, in fact, to the branch level of system of innovative activity in agroindustrial complex of the region. Groups and criteria of estimated indicators of activity of the subject of scientific and technical activity are defined: indicators of production potential, knowledge base, research shots and instrument base. Expediency of formation of innovative processes on the basis of branch subjects of scientific and technical activity is proved. As the main subject of scientific and technical activity of the branch of fruit growing of the agro-industrial complex of Krasnodar territory we defined the scientifically research establishment North Caucasian zone research institute of gardening and wine growing. The detailed analysis and assessment of scientific and technical and innovative activities of scientific institution North Caucasian zone research institute of gardening and wine growing for groups and criteria of estimated indicators is submitted. It is revealed that the provided analysis and an assessment of productivity of innovative activity isn't sufficient and demands addition with the assessment indicators displaying process of transformation of scientific potential in effect – a scientific and technical product
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ASSESSMENT OF INVESTMENT APPEAL AND INVESTMENT POTENTIAL OF MUNICIPALITY
DescriptionRelevance of the subject presented in article locates that investments – one of the most important factors of realization of strategic and tactical problems of development and effective activity of municipality. Attraction of investments allows to raise socio-economic indexes, to improve quality of life, and also to increase competitiveness of an economic entity. Besides the solution of specific objectives of each investment project, investment provide business expansion, employment of the population and replenishment of the local budget. In article were revealed the factors which forming investment appeal of the Krymsk region of Krasnodar territory, analysed the national program of support of investment projects existing since 2007, given the assessment of dynamics of production of goods and services, presented the rating of city districts and municipal regions of edge on growth rates of the main economic indicators. The approved and realized investment projects and investment platforms of the Krymsk region for 2015 are also considered, three priority projects accepted within the eighth international forum "Sochi-2014" are in details analysed. Priority branches for implementation of investment activity, namely: agriculture, industry, transport and communication which will provide further economic development of the territory, were revealed by results of the analysis
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11.00.00 Geographical sciences
DescriptionThe article is devoted to the assessment adverse effects of Gusinoozerskaya GRES on the ecosystem of Lake Gusinoe. It shows the dynamics of the ice regime of Lakes Gusinoe near Gusinoozerskaya GRES. Is noted that industrial pollution reduces the quality of the water in the lake