№ 116(2), February, 2016
Public date: 29.02.2016
Archive of journal: Articles count 106, 245 kb
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FORECAST OF INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionForecasting of scientific and technical progress is necessary to make grounded management decisions. In this article, we forecast the development of information and communication technologies in order to solve a particular but important issue of design of professional standards in the aerospace industry. We identify the factors affecting the development of information and communication (computer) technologies, with their help determine the trends of development of these technologies over the next two decades. The main trend - the maximum cheaper production of computer (or network) components, combined with an increase in their capacity. One way to reduce the cost of production is the "centralization" - combining several components into one. The third trend - the desire to reduce the size of computers. The size of a future computer could be a device the size of a pencil, a pin or button, as the system unit has a negligible size, keyboard and display are virtual, transfer any amount of information through a virtual office online. The development of secure free copying will lead to increased use of this free software and technologies "rental program" over the Internet. We predict an increase in reliability and intensive programs while maintaining the general principles of the interface. Revolutionary changes are expected production (machines, sensors), and household appliances
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06.00.00 Agricultural sciences
DescriptionThe article presents the material of forecasting for grape yield of next year and establishing the optimal loading if cutting of bushes. The material includes 14 varieties of grapes, 11 of them are technical and 3 are table ones. For each year of stable high yield of grapes, it is necessary to pre-set the optimum length of fruit cutting of shoots and optimum load on the bush healthy eyes. To do this for each variety on the eve of trimming bushes we perform optimum productivity analysis of wintering buds of fruit along the length of shoots, i.e. we implement forecasting of grape yield for next year. We have a plan of forecasting for yields of vineyards by microscopy of wintering buds on one-year shoots of fruit ripened grapes in order to establish the potential of embryonic establishment of inflorescences in the central holes of buds. Based on the analysis of buds, the indices were calculated for wintering fruiting buds and their degree of damage during the growing season. It was revealed, that the majority of grape varieties under study shows high tab embryonic inflorescences in central buds in overwintering buds for next year yield. Higher rates at a rate of fruiting buds were wintering in the varieties: Moldova (section 27). - 1.66; Bianca (section 6). - 1.83; Kunlean (section 15). - 1.71; Merlot (section 14). - 1.64; Saperavi (section 56). - 1.76. The lowest rates of fructification - the varieties Muscat Hamburg (section 21) and Augustine (section 11) and were respectively 1.20 and 1.24. As a planned productivity, we offered the optimal loading model of cutting bushes buds. As a result of productivity analyzes of buds along the length of the fruit shoots in 2016 we recommended to carry out pruning of fruit annual shoots 3-4 buds of the form of AZOS-1 and the form of cordon - 5-6 buds
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PROGNOSTIC RESEARCH ON THE NATURAL AND ECONOMIC PROCESSES
DescriptionThe increase in volume of processed data and the rapid development of environmental monitoring, modeling, forecasting, analysis, visualization, prediction in modern conditions is connected with the consistent increase in their level of formalization. The bases for all this are requirements of significantly changed stochastics natural and economic processes. A new method of nonlinear dynamics, namely the method of sequential R/S-analysis is proposed. In the article, the authors paid attention to the method of fractal analysis of time series. The founder of fractal analysis is a British hydrologist H.E Hurst. He showed that natural phenomena such as river flows, rainfall, temperature, solar activity is followed by «biased random walk», i.e. trend with noise. The noise level and trend resistance are estimated in change in the normalized amplitude levels of the time series for the expiration time, or, in other words, how they entered a quantity called the Hurst exponent exceeds the value of 0.5. Rather essential information is a cyclical component to forecast. Thus, there is a need for further study of natural and economic processes based on the new mathematical models. These methods bring to forecast new useful methodological elements that are not in continuous methodology, concepts such as «noise color» persistence and anti-persistent series, Hurst, «long-term memory», R/S-trajectory and the trajectory of the Hurst exponent, etc.
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WAYS OF IMPROVING THE QUALITY OF EDUCATION AMONG STUDENTS OF ECONOMIC DEPARTMENTS
DescriptionOne of the factors for economic stabilization and growth of the industrial production index is appearing young high quality trained professionals in prior areas of modernization and technological development of the Russian economy. Every year the state spends huge financial resources to ensure the budget places for the Russian economy demanded specialties and departments of universities. However, as shown by monitoring carried out at different levels, about 75% of graduates are not able to integrate into the production process for various reasons In connection with the vector of strategies of modern education reforms should be the creation of prerequisites and conditions for the effectiveness of the system based on a comprehensive implementation of innovative mechanisms of organizational and economic activity of educational institutions. As well as the reduction and, in the future, complete elimination of the gap between the needs of the economy to a qualitatively trained staff and modern system of vocational education. This article discusses issues related to the conditions for the training of qualified personnel for the regional economy in the current conditions, the main ways of integration of young highly qualified specialists in various industry sectors. This is possible with the implementation mechanisms of public-private partnerships in education, which allows combining the interests of universities, large and medium-sized businesses, and in the future accession and small businesses. We determined priority directions and synergistic interaction and the cluster approach to public policy, business and university towards the restoration of the lost positions "nurturing" human capacity for the relevant quality criteria demands of employers, focused not only on theoretical knowledge but also on practical experience of the high school graduate
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Description
In modern conditions, housing and communal services, on the one hand, the urgent need of carrying out a comprehensive mo-modernization of the entire infrastructure, and on the other hand, with the intensification of the implementation of innovations manufacturing techniques, it can be one of the points of sustainable growth and development of domestic economic. These circumstances determine the relevance scope of this article. The article identifies the main control housing and communal services – housing fund as well as the composition of the institutional agents carrying out its operation. It was found that the current management practice does not meet the requirements of the market and fundamentally change the conditions of financial and economic activities of its institutional agents, and the results of ongoing reforms in this area cannot be considered satisfactory. We defined targets development of innovative potential of housing and communal services, and its compliance with the investment activity of its institutional agents. We revealed the most significant changes, which should be based on the innovative vector of development of this sphere. We substantiated composition of quantitative and qualitative indicators of the system for conformity assessment of the innovative capacity of the sphere of housing and communal services of the investment activity of its institutional agents. The article substantiates the need to develop science-based concept of innovative development and comprehensive modernization of the infrastructure of housing and communal services and the feasibility of pilot innovative projects. It is concluded that the successful implementation of pilot innovative projects can become the starting point for turning the sphere of housing-communal services, but one of the stable points of growth of the domestic economy
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A VARIETY OF ASTERACEAE IN NATURAL COMMUNITIES OF THE YAKUT BOTANICAL GARDEN
DescriptionThe article provides information about the species diversity of the family of Asteraceae in the natural area of the Yakut botanical garden. We provide the information about the method and the area of the study, the description of the phytocenotic surrounding, taxonomic analysis, areal analysis, bio-morphological analysis (the variety of life forms) which was given by the K. Raunkier, rhythmological analysis, environmental analysis (by A.P. Schennikov), analysis of phytocoenotic
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Description
Objective: To improve the consistency and effectiveness of strategic planning and forecasting in modern conditions it requires development of the existing classifications of types of planning, strategies, forecasts and forecast methods. This study examines the introduction to problems of spectral analysis of the macroeconomic dynamics of key world and Russian sugar subcomplex. The article is devoted to forecasting the activities of integrated manufacturing systems of sugar subcomplex in agro industrial subcomplex. As well as to the practical application of economic-mathematical methods (based on spectral analysis) to control the economic parameters of the integrated industrial systems of the sugar subcomplex, oriented to meet the needs of the sugar production of the population not only of individuals, but of the regions and the country as a whole. Discussion: Procedures to identify and study the dynamics of periodic components of the development of the agriculture segment agriculture are based on methods of spectral analysis of random processes. The article describes the performed experiments with various kinds of non-stationary time series of agricultural sector and food industry sugar subcomplex. The article presents results of numerical experiments with the spectra of time series of sugar production, sown areas, gross harvest and yield of sugar beet and sugar cane country. Systematic ideas and methods underlying the spectral analysis were shown. The article also assesses the results. Results: The algorithm developed by the author for the adaptive method of spectral analysis was implemented by the author in the context of a specific software product, namely in MS Excel format. The results of the empirical research confirmed the possibility of practical use of developed models in forecasting likely scenarios for the development of sugar sub-complex in the interests of integrated production systems. The results are illustrated by numerous graphs based on real data. We have also built projection of latent structures of sugar subcomplex in the macroregions. It is revealed that each of the macroeconomic time series can contain at least from 2 to 9 harmonics (cycles) of different kind and strength of impact on the trend
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Description
Objective: To improve the consistency and effectiveness of strategic planning and forecasting in modern conditions it requires development of the existing classifications of types of planning, strategies, forecasts and forecast methods. This study examines the introduction to problems of spectral analysis of the macroeconomic dynamics of key world and Russian sugar subcomplex. The article is devoted to forecasting the activities of integrated manufacturing systems of sugar subcomplex in agro industrial subcomplex. As well as to the practical application of economic-mathematical methods (based on spectral analysis) to control the economic parameters of the integrated industrial systems of the sugar subcomplex, oriented to meet the needs of the sugar production of the population not only of individuals, but of the regions and the country as a whole. Discussion: Procedures to identify and study the dynamics of periodic components of the development of the agriculture segment agriculture are based on methods of spectral analysis of random processes. The article describes the performed experiments with various kinds of non-stationary time series of agricultural sector and food industry sugar sub-complex. The article presents results of numerical experiments with the spectra of time series of sugar production, sown areas, gross harvest and yield of sugar beet and sugar cane country. Systematic ideas and methods underlying the spectral analysis were shown. The article also assesses the results. Results: The algorithm developed by the author for the adaptive method of spectral analysis was implemented by the author in the context of a specific software product, namely in MS Excel format. The results of the empirical research confirmed the possibility of practical use of developed models in forecasting likely scenarios for the development of sugar sub-complex in the interests of integrated production systems. The results are illustrated by numerous graphs based on real data. We have also built projection of latent structures of sugar subcomplex in the macroregions. It is revealed that each of the macroeconomic time series can contain at least from 2 to 9 harmonics (cycles) of different kind and strength of impact on the trend
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DEVELOPMENT AND RESEARCH OF THE EXPERIMENTAL EQUIPMENT FOR COMBINED TILLAGE
DescriptionThe article substantiates the necessity of creation the experimental equipment for examination of the power components in the investigated process; a block diagram of the measuring system was presented. We have also developed a method of selecting a mounting location and connection schemes of the sensors, as well as the approbation of the experimental equipment is made in the implementation of a trial of full factorial experiment
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THE MODELING TEMPLATE OF ENTERPRISE ARCHITECTURE OF PUBLIC CATERING
DescriptionThe article presents results of developing the template architecture for an enterprise of public catering. As a prototype for the template, we have selected the restaurant called Phoenix. The development pattern of architecture was based on the typical features of public catering establishments described in the business model. The main results of the study are: generalized business model, built on the method developed by A. Osterwalder, graphical layout of business processes, implemented in the tool environment, All Fusion Process Modeler (BPWin) and developed models of decomposition of business processes, model business event, the location of the model functions, integration model, models, data architecture, class diagram, application portfolio and technology infrastructure. The architecture of a company of public catering may serve as a template for other businesses whose business model matches the business model of the research object. We have developed a tree of objectives and functions, the model of the enterprise, the data architecture, technology infrastructure and application portfolio are typical for the industry. The results of the study have practical value and can be used by the industry as at the design stage and improvement