Central Economics and Mathematics Institute Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow
Author list of organization
List of articles written by the authors of the organization
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ANALYSIS OF PRICE SERIES USING HOLT’S INDICATOR OF STOCK MARKET
DescriptionThe article is devoted to the development of an indicator to detect changes in the dynamics of stock price series that could lead to loss of optimality of the trading models parameters. Feature of the new tools of technical analysis is sensitive not only to the trend component securities prices, but also to the volatility of financial assets. In this work proposes the use of this indicator as part of risk management at the stock market, formulates practical advice on how to use and configure in conjunction with trading models.
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METHODOLOGY FOR EVALUATING AND IMPROVING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF THE STATE DEFENSE CAPABILITIES
DescriptionIn the article we have developed a methodology to assess the effectiveness of various types of military and economic activities, the effectiveness of which determines the value of the defense capabilities of the state; we have also revealed the economic substance of defense capabilities and combat readiness of troops, justified approaches to determining the significance of ongoing military-oriented activities, identified main activities of the specific conditions of defense industries which leave their marks on the cost-effectiveness in the production of material resources for the Russian military service. The analysis of the flow direction of monetary environment of estimated units indicates that the current practice of planning and cost accounting is not fully adapted for military-economic analysis of measures to ensure the establishment of the defense capabilities of the state, and this makes it difficult to study and make recommendations to improve the efficiency of the use of military and economic resources. The authors propose a unified system of methodological support planning, estimating the size of consumed resources (regardless of funding source) and attainable defense results. Methodical resolution of this problem is based on the use of program-target approach to modeling the processes of the defense-industrial complex and the structural elements of the military organization. The article substantiates that the evaluation of the effectiveness of the use of defense capabilities should be carried out not only by the criterion of "cost - effect", but with all the manifestations of the time factor. In the most general form of the criterion of effectiveness should be provided by the triad "cost - effect - time." An important result of this study is also in the development of the integral index of evaluating the effectiveness of the use of military and economic
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Description
In modern conditions the sphere of housing and communal services has every reason to become a breakthrough towards sustainable development of the national economy based on innovation. However, most of the fixed assets of institutional agents of this sector in dire need of immediate conduct of a comprehensive modernization. This fact determines the relevance of subjects of this article. The main object of management in the sphere of housing and communal services is housing. The organization of its operation does not meet modern standards, which negatively affects the quality of utility services provided to the population. We have revealed the most significant factors and determined the degree of their influence on the development of innovative potential of the sphere of housing and communal services and improving the quality of housing and communal services. The article reveals the necessity of introduction of innovative technologies of information metering and payment of utility services to the population. The influence of these technologies to improve the quality of housing and communal services, as well as strengthening the financial condition of the majority of institutional agents engaged in housing operation was found. We identify the most promising areas of the comprehensive modernization of municipal infrastructure of housing and communal services through the introduction of innovative technologies of information metering and payment of utility services which stimulate institutional agents of this sector to improve the quality of housing services produced by them
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IMPROVEMENT OF THE FOOD SUPPLY OF THE RUSSIAN ARMY IN MODERN CONDITIONS
DescriptionLeadership of the Ministry of Defense in 2013 almost fully completed the process of catering service for the Army transition to outsourcing. Thus a function of food supply has been almost entirely transferred to commercial organizations. In view of the aggravation of geopolitical situation around Russia's borders army must be ready for combat operations in local wars, military conflicts and peacekeeping operations, which at any moment can be provoked by enemies in conflicts in dangerous areas. Accordingly to the full and timely food supply in the military units and institutions in special operations the food service of the Russian army should be prepared as well. In this article we have reasoned and substantiated proposals for reforming the existing system of food supply of the Russian army with the objective of increasing the capabilities of the system under the action of the Russian troops in the conditions of local wars, armed conflicts and in peacekeeping operations. Their practical implementation will allow a significant restructuring of the modern system of food supply of the Russian army to eliminate the dependence of the action or inaction of the outsourcing companies operating on the market of food supply troops in special operations, as well as during major trainings
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CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF DEVELOPMENT OF MARKET OF PAYMENT CARDS
DescriptionIn the article, conceptual model of development of market of payment cards is described. The denominations and basic relations of model descriptions are resulted. The economic interpretation of the basic relations of model in the explanatory to model is presented
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STRATEGY PLANNING OF SMALL METAL-TRADING COMPANY
DescriptionArticle investigates the questions of development strategy of small metal trading firms using the methods of economic-mathematical modeling and methods of forecasting. Predictive calculations were performed on example of one particular enterprise, for different demand scripts: pessimistic, optimistic, inertial and aggregated
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Description
In the article process of interaction of real sector of economy and the share market on an example of Russia is considered. Sensitivity of the share market to the information factor in a stable and crisis phase of development is investigated; comparison of reaction to the information of the Russian and American market to use of dynamics of indexes of RTS and Dow Jones is carried out. The received results are based on methods of the correlation and graphic analysis