Поиск статей
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VECTOR MODEL OF ECONOMIC RISKS OF PARALLEL PROJECTS
Description
The construction of vector models of the theoretical (quantitative) risks having cost has been shown. Mod-el of parallel projects, vulnerable with the local risk, with construction of the generalized risk of this conglomerate of projects is shown. As a typical case of such design, the portfolio of securities is presented. Earlier offered vector dyadic model develops in four-dimensional model with various variations of vector (external) and scalar (internal) products of vectors of “risky cost” of local risks
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Description
The results of application of systemic-cognitive analysis for prognosis of risks of traffic accidents and sums of insurance payments in the system of compulsory auto insurance are described in the article.
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SYNTHESIS OF SCORING MODEL BY THE METHOD OF SYSTEMIC-COGNITIVE ANALYSIS
Description
The urgent problem of prognosis of crediting risks of physical persons are considered and ways of set task decision are offered in the article. The possible variants of formalization of subject field are considered and there was formed the training fetch on the base of which the synthesis of scoring model by the method of systemic-cognitive analysis is conducted. The possible variants of optimization of its quality: increase of prognosis authenticity and decrease of different types of errors are considered in the article as well.
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ROLE OF UNCERTAINTY AND RISK IN CONTEMPORARY ECONOMICS
Description
In the article the new role of risks is estimated on the basis of the review of the modern economics condi-tions and its conjuncture, stochasticity and unpredictability of variables. Dyadic generalized risk vector in two-dimensional space is designed from vectors of “usual cost” and “risky cost”. It enables analytically to calculate the generalized risks of consecutive logistical chains
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Description
An example of expert analysis method of preventive and corrective actions of a major gas transmission company, aimed at environmental improvement has been shown
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ESTIMATION OF ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF LLC “KASNODARTRANSGAS” TECHNOLOGICAL PROCESSES
Description
Applied methods of estimation of environmental impact of technological processes of gas preparation for trunk transportation at transnational organization are laid out
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QUANTITATIVE MODELS AND METHODS OF RISKS EVALUATION IN AGRO-INDUSTRIAL INTEGRATED PRODUCTION SYSTEMS
Description
Results of researches on quantitative evaluation of agro-industrial integrated production systems (IPS) risks with the regard of influence of external and internal media are described in this article. Particularly, quantitative method of calculation of integrated risk indexes of unfavorable influence of external medium on integrated production systems; model of determination of IPS effectiveness on the base of worked out models of calculation of integrated risk indexes and an equipment of slipshod great numbers theory; improved model of IPS effectiveness evaluation with the regard of risk component part on the stage of material flow creation have been described.
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PROGNOSIS OF RISKS OF CAR INSURANCE KASKO WITH THE APPLICATION OF SYSTEMIC-COGNITIVE ANALYSIS
Description
Application of systemic-cognitive analysis and its programming set of instruments of the system “AIDOS” for synthesis of a semantic informational model, taking into account the influence of different factors on sums of insurance payments of car insurance KASKO and use of this model for prognosis of insurance payments sums is described in the article.
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Description
Principles of construction and stages of programming complex on analysis and risks assessment at the enterprises of agro-industrial complex, including design of general architecture of programming complex, logical structure of programming models, being the part of programming complex, physical structure of programming complex on the level of file system and algorithm of functioning of complex software are considered in the article.
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