01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
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DIAMETER AND RADIUS OF THE WEIGHTED PREFRACTAL GRAPH BY A COMPLETE BIPARTITE SEED
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionResearches of metric characteristics on prefractal graphs are known tasks. Such tasks arise when determining estimates of length, of depth, of width of the graph. Also these questions arise when determining results of optimization of these tasks of the prefractal graphs. Properties of metric characteristics depend on a trajectory of generation of the prefractal graph and on the characteristic of primings. In this work, metric characteristics on prefractal weighed graphs are investigated, dependence of metric characteristics on a trajectory of a priming and prefractal graphs is revealed. Estimates are obtained for the diameter and radius of the weighted prefractal and fractal graphss
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MAGNETIC PARTICLES` FORMATION IN CONDITIONS OF THE LOW-TEMPERATURE PLASMA AND MAGNETIC FIELD
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionChemical processes are often connected with use or formation of condensed dispersed phase (CDP). Dispersed particles can change mobility of charges, as well as other parameters of the low-temperature plasma. The aim of this work is to study the effect of magnetic field on the processes of dispersed particles formation in argon-oxygen plasma containing iron and carbon atoms at atmospheric pressure. The equilibrium composition of iron and carbon atoms containing mixture simulated at temperatures of 1000-5000K for optimization of the plasma-forming gas composition. It is shown that in case of oxygen excess, the CDP particles contain only iron oxides. The literature data about the phase transition processes in a low-temperature plasma, as well as the data about the processes with participation of ferromagnetic particles in a constant magnetic field analyzed. The results of investigations of the dispersed particles forming in argon-oxygen plasma of arc discharge in the presence and in the absence of the magnetic field are shown. The formed disperse phase was deposited on the substrates and studied by the electron microscopy and X-ray methods. It was found that with the lack of oxygen the size of the iron-oxide particles created in the arc discharge containing iron and carbon is affected by magnetic field: in a magnetic field of 10 mT the particles are larger than in its absence
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ECONOMETRICS AS AN ACADEMIC DISCIPLINE
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionStatistical methods are widely used in domestic feasibility studies. However, for most managers, economists and engineers, they are exotic. This is due to the fact that modern statistical methods are not taught in the universities. We discuss the situation, focusing on the statistical methods for economic and feasibility studies, ie, econometrics. In the world of science, econometrics has a rightful place. There are scientific journals in econometrics, Nobel Prizes in Economics are given to series of researches in econometrics. The situation in the field of scientific and practical work and especially the teaching of econometrics in Russia is disadvantaged. Often, individual particular constructions replace econometrics in general, such as those related to regression analysis. The article is devoted to econometrics as an academic discipline. Our course begins with a discussion of the structure of modern econometrics, the connections between applied statistics and econometric methods. We consider sample researches (analysis of surveys results), the elements of econometrics numbers, and methods of testing of statistical hypothesis about homogeneity. We have given the concepts of regression analysis, econometric classification methods, modern measurement theory. The important places are occupied by the statistics of non-numerical data (including fuzzy sets and their links with random sets) and the statistics of interval data. The problem of the stability of statistical procedures with respect to the tolerances of input data and model prerequisites is discussed. The representations of the econometric methods of expert research and quality control, analysis and forecasting of time series, econometrics of forecasting and risks are given
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MATHEMATICAL MODELS OF MEDICALECONOMIC CONTROL OF DRUGS PRESCRIPTION
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe federal program on essential drugs provision (EDP) is one of the most significant and socially important state projects; it is directed to the reduction of morbidity and mortality together with the improvement of life quality of the society and its social climate. In accordance with the federal law “On social state assistance” from 17.07.1999 №178- FL, the essence of the program is that medical recipes are dispensed for preferential medicines to be received by federal program participants. The medical-economic control (MEC) of the drugs designation and provision of federal benefit recipients is performed basing on the automated registries examination of released drugs. The number of passed and failed examination recipes is determined according to the registers processing results. A certain percentage of the accepted for payment prescriptions is a subject for MEC. For the purpose of the recipes selection for testing, the paper proposes the mathematical models of criteria application and MEC-planning. The game model of organization and MEC performance in health care organizations is build basing on the theory of games. The considered play model suggests that the health services quality examination need to be adjusted and some strategies are to be improved. The solution on the planning of checked recipes number allows to perform the inspection of all the health care organizations, involved in EDP program
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THE RATIONALE FOR THE USE OF ELECTROMAGNETIC FIELD IN THE PRODUCTION OF SUNFLOWER OIL
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn some works, the feasibility of the use of fixed and variable electromagnetic fields of different frequencies and tension in the production technology of sunflower oil are shown, but there is no theoretical justification. The possibility of electromagnetic effects is associated with the presence of polar molecules specific to organic systems. Without prejudice to the role of polar groups of terrestrial circuits, this work tries to address this challenge more comprehensively. The reason for this is the distinctive feature of the behavior of sunflower during its flowering. This characteristic is that the sunflower hat during the day changes its direction in accordance with the direction of movement of the Sun across the sky; so called "magnetism" of their attraction. To justify this effect, we have analyzed the essence of emitted photons, the Sun chemical composition and structure arrangement of seeds in a sunflower hat. Particles of light from the Sun represent a stream of photons - a wide range of electromagnetic waves of frequencies that exhibit and magnetic properties. The article shows principal macro- and micronutrients of sunflower raw materials and divides them into groups of para- , dia- , and ferromagnetic materials. In sunflower seeds, there are chemical elements: diamagnetism-C, H, N, P, S, B, Cu, Zn, J; paramagnetism-O, K, Ca, Mg, Mo, As and ferromagnetic-iron (Fe). As there is resultant force of the magnetic attraction between the sunflower hat and magnetic flow of photons from the Sun, this effect dominates the action of paramagnetics K2O ( -28.4 24.5%), CaO (7.6-17.0)%, MgO (12.3-17.9%), magnetized in an external magnetic field in the direction of the field. The presence of evident effect demonstrates that it is possible to improve a number of technological operations in the manufacture of sunflower oil using electrical, magnetic or electromagnetic fields
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DISTRIBUTIONS OF REAL STATISTICAL DATA ARE NOT NORMAL
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn the training courses on the theory of probability and mathematical statistics there are various parametric families of distributions of numerical random variables considered. Namely, we have been studying the families of normal distributions, log-normal distributions, exponential distributions, gamma distributions, Weibull-Gnedenko distributions, etc. All of them depend on one, two or three parameters. Therefore, for a complete description of the distribution it is sufficient to know or estimate one, two or three numbers. Parametric theory of mathematical statistics is widely developed, where it is assumed that the distribution of observations belong to one or another parametric family of distributions. This tradition comes from Karl Pearson, who in the early twentieth century proposed the use of four parametric family of distributions. The above families of distributions - are the subsets of a four-parametric family of Pearson. Unfortunately, parametric families exist only in the minds of the authors of textbooks on probability theory and mathematical statistics. In real life, they are not. Therefore, modern applied statistics and econometrics mainly use non-parametric methods, in which the distribution of observations can have arbitrary form. First, on an example of a normal distribution, we are discussing the impossibility of practical use of parametric families of distributions to describe specific statistical data. We give the results of research of metrologists and estimation of convergence in limit theorems. Then we discuss how the parametric methods can use for reject outlying observations. It is very unstable the significance levels for a fixed rejection rule and the parameter of the rejection rules for a fixed level of significance. Consequently, the rejection of the classic rules of mathematical statistics is not sciencebased
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe article by continues the cycle of their studies related to the formulation and development of methods of constructing non-negative solutions of inverse problems of balance models (in this case, the model of world trade). Method of constructing nonnegative solutions of the studied inverse problems is developed. This technique is based on the following scheme of the solution. Initially we convinced of a correct formulation of the direct problem, then of the solvability of the inverse. Further, by specified tabular solutions of the direct problem, a system of algebraic equations containing the unknown, the estimated parameters of the studied model is built. Then the inverse problem reduces to solving the following quadratic programming, the solution of which is determined in MS Excel. The theoretical material is accompanied by solution of specific example, using statistical data of the Karachay-Cherkess Republic that shows how actually in practice it is possible to solve the inverse problem, i.e. to organize a process of balanced trade of the Karachay-Cherkess Republic with each of the subjects of Noth – Caucasion Federal District. Found the non-negative elements of a matrix, by which we can judge what proportion of national income, y, the subject has to spend on the purchase of goods in the Karachay-Cherkess Republic, to trade between this pair was balanced. So, the inverse problem posed in relation to the trading countries, it is possible to put and solve the following method and to trade between the subjects of one country
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SIMULATION OF TURBULENT MHD FLOW IN A RECTANGULAR CAVITY IN A ROTATING MAGNETIC FIELD
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe article deals with numerical solutions of MHD equations describing turbulent flow of a conducting fluid in a rectangular cavity in the rotating magnetic field at large values of the magnetic Taylor number, and Reynolds number. It is known that there is a mechanism of turbulent mixing in natural systems, leading to an increase in the viscosity of the continuous medium. In this regard, we suggest methods of regularization of the Navier-Stokes equations, similar to the natural mechanisms of mixing. The models based on the properties of currents of the turbulent environment proposed. A modification of the continuity equation taking into account the final magnitude of pressure fluctuations was considered. It is shown that due to pressure fluctuation the incompressibility condition can be violated even for flows with low Mach numbers. Modification of continuity in the system of NavierStokes equations by the introduction of turbulent viscosity allows the regularization of the NavierStokes equations to solve the problems with rapidly changing dynamic parameters, for example, in the case of a conducting fluid flow in a magnetic field rotating with a high frequency. It was shown that the modification of the continuity equation taking into account turbulent fluctuations leads to a system of nonlinear equations of parabolic type. A numerical model of turbulent MHD flow in a rectangular cavity with rapid change in flow parameters was proposed. In numerical calculations revealed that under the influence of a rotating magnetic field in a conducting fluid there are forces occur, causing unsteady vortex flow, which is consistent with experimental data. We have discovered a type of large scale instability of the turbulent flow, connecting with the secondary flow in a form of vortices
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STATISTICAL METHODS IN HISTORY
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionWe have given a critical analysis of statistical models and methods for processing text information in historical records to establish the times when there were certain events, ie, to build science-based chronology. There are three main kinds of sources of knowledge of ancient history: ancient texts, the remains of material culture and traditions. The specific date of the extracted by archaeologists objects in most cases can not be found. The group of Academician A.T. Fomenko has developed and applied new statistical methods for analysis of historical texts (Chronicle), based on the intensive use of computer technology. Two major scientific results were: the majority of historical records that we know now, are duplicated (in particular, chronicles, describing the so-called "Ancient Rome" and "Middle Ages", talking about the same events); the known historical chronicles tell us about real events, separated from the present time for not more than 1000 years. It was found that chronicles describing the history of "ancient times" and "Middle Ages" and the chronicle of Chinese history and the history of various European countries do not talk about different, but about the same events. We have the attempt of a new dating of historical events and restoring the true history of human society based on new data. From the standpoint of statistical methods of historical records and images of their fragments – they are special cases of non-numeric objects of nature. Therefore, developed by the group of A.T. Fomenko computer-statistical methods are the part of non-numerical statistics. We have considered some methods of statistical analysis of chronicles applied by the group of A.T. Fomenko: correlation method of maximums; dynasties method; the method of attenuation frequency; questionnaire method codes. New chronology allows us to understand much of the battle of ideas in modern science and mass consciousness. It becomes clear the root cause of cautious attitude of the West towards Russia
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STATE AND PROSPECTS OF APPLIED AND THEORETICAL STATISTICS
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe general scheme of modern statistical science is just like this. Mathematical Statistics is a part of mathematics that studies the statistical structure (it itself does not give recipes analysis of statistical data, however, it is developing methods that are useful for use in theoretical statistics). Theoretical Statistics - the science dedicated to the models and methods of analysis of concrete statistical data. Applied Statistics (in the narrow sense) is devoted to the statistical techniques of data collection and processing (it includes the methodology of statistical methods, the organization of sample surveys, the development of statistical techniques, the creation and use of statistical software). Applications of statistical methods in concrete fields (in economics and management - Econometrics, in biology - Biometrics, in chemistry - Chemometrics, in technical research - Technometric, in geology, demography, sociology, medicine, history, etc.). Often positions 2 and 3 together are called Applied Statistics. Sometimes position 1 is called Theoretical Statistics. These terminological differences are related to the fact that the above-described development of the considered scientific and applied field not once, not completely and not always adequately reflected in the minds of experts. Meanwhile, there are still textbooks of appropriate level of representation of the mid-twentieth century. The article analyzes the post-war development of the national statistics. We have identified five "growth points": nonparametrics, robustness, bootstrap, statistics of interval data, and statistics of non-numeric data. We have discussed content, development and the basic ideas of statistics of nonnumeric data. We have given a number of unresolved problems of theoretical and applied statistics