01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionA number of information and semantic models has been developed using artificial intelligence system AIDOS-X. The similarity between the movement of the elements of the lunar orbit and the dynamics of the instantaneous pole of the Earth, as well as violations of the global atmospheric circulation and water, leading to the emergence of episodes of El Niño and La Niña are justified. We have explored a possibility of semantic information models equatorial regions of the Pacific for prediction of global climatic disturbances in the tropical latitudes. We made a forecast about breaking of global ocean circulation, or the occurrence of El Niño episode of the classical type in 2015
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FORECASTING OF THE DYNAMICS OF THELABOR FORCE USING AN INTERSECTORAL MATHEMATICAL MODEL
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn this article we have proposed an intersectoral mathematical model of self-organization of the labor market. This model is the system of balance equations of the dynamics of the labor force. The model contains parameters that show where workers were employed in previous times. Therefore it is possible to monitor the dynamics of intersectoral labor force over a long period of time. It has been shown that the model allows to solve the problem of forecasting the number of employed and unemployed in the labor market under the assumption that the parameters of the probabilistic model are constant for a certain period. The use of the model is illustrated on the example in which the probabilities of hiring and firing of employees were calculated, as well as the probabilities that the employees in the analyzed period (2011 – 2012 years) leave the labor market. The forecast of the number of employed and unemployed at the end of the next period (2013) is based on the calculated probabilities. It has been demonstrated that the deviation of the predicted values from the statistical data is not significant, which witnesses about the efficiency of the forecast
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionOn the basis of local semantic information of the models of California the dependence of parameters seismic activity on the position of the space objects has been investigated and the model of short-term earthquake prediction has been created. The formal criteria of astronomical parameters of high informative value in the preparation and implementation of earthquakes have been established. On the example of semantic models, we have developed criteria for seismic hazard zones for individual study of the region of California 2x2 degrees of longitude and latitude with regard to the intended depth of the hypo-center and magnitude of possible earthquakes
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe article describes a numerical example of creating intellectual application designed to predict solar flares of different classes on the basis of the history of their development in the environment of "Eidos" system. As the source data, we used the database of UCI repository
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionSince there are many artificial intelligence systems, there is a need of comparable quality assessment of their mathematical models. For this purpose, these systems can be tested on the same database source data, for which it is very convenient to use a public database of the UCI repository. This work is aimed at the study and development of model practices of the database of the UCI repository to assess the quality of mathematical models of artificial intelligence systems
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe aim of work is to get prognostic equations, taking into account the natural growth of pine forest stands of Krasnoyarsk forest-steppe along with influence of forestry arrangements and elemental factors. Dependences of weight average diameter and mean square deviation from age and plantation density were received in the article.
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PREDICTIVE POWER – THE BEST INDICATOR OF THE QUALITY OF THE DIAGNOSTIC ALGORITHM
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionInexpediency of use of probability of correct diagnostics as a quality indicator of diagnostic algorithm is shown. The new indicator - the prognostic strength based on Mahalanobis distance between classes is offered and studied. We have found asymptotic distribution of the prognostic strength; the way of testing of adequacy of its application has been specified. In a problem of testing of two simple hypotheses the prognostic strength connection is established with Hellinger distance
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn this article, we describe a modification of the design pattern of "Strategy", which informs customers about the different types of algorithms (strategies) without disclosing the features of their implementation, as well as allows you to control compliance with the algorithms and methods. In addition, the architecture of the algorithms and methods that use the above modification is described in details
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionWe should have trained staff to implement innovative strategies. Therefore, it is natural, that a lot of attention is paid to the staffing of the management processes of innovative activity at the enterprises of the rocket and space industry (RCP). Training and human resources management in accordance with current legislation should be based on professional standards. The content of professional standards should reflect the results of forecasting scientific and technical progress in the field, for example, in the RCP. It is necessary to forecast trends in the use of information and communication technologies in solving management problems in the socio-economic sphere in order to reflect these developments in professional standards. The approach to solving this problem is the subject of this article. What should the professional standard be like in the RCP? The main problem lies in the fact that although the standard is to be enacted in the near future, its actual impact on the industry will start in 5 - 10 years and will continue for at least another 10 years, ie, until the 2030s. Professional standards should come from "Education through Science" concept, ie, knowledge, skills, competences, provided by a professional standard, should be based on modern scientific achievements. For example, mathematical methods of research should be based on a new paradigm in the area of knowledge and statistical data analysis methods must meet high statistical techniques. For the development of professional standards in the field of the RCP it is necessary to predict the characteristics of the qualification (level of knowledge, skills and experience) required the employee to carry out professional activities in the RCP in 2020 - 2030. Modern information and communication technologies are creating a fundamentally new situation in the organization of the economy. We have an ability to manage the work of organizational units, scattered throughout the world, from a single center. The requirement of presence in the workplace is mainly a relic of the past. We have a lot of advantages in a remote work
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01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionThe article discusses the expansion of artificial intelli-gence "Aidos-Astra" for applications with the empirical data of high dimensionality. Application, written in the language JAVA, allows you to prepare and visualize the information content of the matrix without re-strictions imposed by the architecture of the system "Aidos-Astra "