№ 114(10), December, 2015
Public date: 30.12.2015
Archive of journal: Articles count 111, 292 kb
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FORECAST OF THE AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT FOR THE AMUR REGION
DescriptionThis article explains the relevance of evaluation of agricultural growth, which can be achieved through the implementation of agricultural sectors’ innovative potential. The opportunities of agricultural growth are defined by the set of macroeconomic, sectoral and regional factors as well as the type of enterprises that have different levels of innovative susceptibility. The authors give an overview of the main methods of social and economic forecasting and justify the choice of the ARIMA (Autoregressive integrated moving average) as a tool for forecasting regional development of agriculture. The article presents the experts’ estimatesbased values of integrated indicators of agricultural exogenous factors and the ARIMA-parameters based on the use of these indicators for time series prediction of agricultural production in the Amur region. The authors conclude that the time series ARIMA-model of the gross agricultural production, taking into account the influence of innovation potential factors, demonstrate a good approximation to the Amur region data. This article also compares the forecasts of agricultural production on inertial and innovative scenario for the Amur region, and provides an estimation of innovation potential growth of the agricultural branches
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PRODUCTIVITY OF WINTER BARLEY IN LEACHED CHERNOZEM CONDITIONS OF KUBAN
06.00.00 Agricultural sciences
DescriptionThe article discusses the various technologies of cultivation of winter barley at two ways of main tillage (recommended and zero-level) with different backgrounds of soil fertility, fertilization rates, protection from weeds, pests and diseases. Consistent improvement of soil fertility and other fertilizers resulted in an increase in crop productivity. Nutrition is the basis of life of a living organism, including plants. The value of crop yield and its chemical composition depend on the conditions of nutrition. It is achieved with the optimum combination of light, heat, air, water, food, etc. In this connection, in the development of methods of cultivation of this crop, we may not only increase the yield of grain, but also pay due attention to the quality of cultivated products. Thus, studies in the experiment showed that the intensification of cultivation technology of one phenomenon substantially and significantly affects the productivity of the given culture
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MANAGEMENT PROCESS IN A COMPANY
DescriptionThe article presents a theoretical substantiation of the necessity of carrying out reengineering of management system in the organization. The cycle of management is considered and the description of stages of the given cycle is resulted. Value to proper statement of objectives is in detail considered and the procedure of construction of a tree of objectives and functions of object of research is described. Internal and external possible processes of object of research are studied. Influence of operating influence on business-processes of object of research is shown. The interrelation of business-processes and organizational structure of object of research is considered. Importance of modeling and an assessment of organizational structure and business-processes and their subsequent reengineering is shown. Such criteria of diagnostics of the organization as capacity of the organization to be trained are considered, strengthening the position in the market, flexibility of strategy and capacity of the organization to support and increase the strategic potential. The concept of architecture of the enterprise has been shown. It is certain, that the organizational structure and business-architecture are domains of architecture of the enterprise. Influence of managerial process on architecture of the enterprise is considered
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Description
The article deals with the mechanisms of improvement and the creation of completely new competitive advantages of the Krasnodar region. It presents various options for organizing competitive advantages, which are influenced by the innovative processes, which, in turn, can increase productivity, modernization and to identify new high-tech industries. In addition, we have given the arguments in favor of the innovation is a fundamental factor in the development and improvement of competitive advantages
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CALCULATION OF THE UNSTEADY WATER LINE IN THE KRASNODAR SUBURBAN CHANNEL FOR WATER MEASUREMENT
DescriptionLow level of water accounting and poor control in water distribution in the irrigation system are the main negative factors of industrial influence on irrigated natural complexes. Complex ecosystem way to control water resources involves qualitative improvement and optimization of all parts and elements of irrigation system, from the headwater pool, main channels to local water distribution channels. In this regard, when engineering, constructing, using some new and reconstructed old irrigated systems, the most important problems are the optimization of water use from natural water resources, development and use of highly efficient water-saving and energy-saving technologies of water distribution and water use in the irrigation system. The problem of economical and efficient consumption of water resources on the studied water complex cannot be solved successfully without any related consideration of water accounting and water consumption questions based on system principles. System principles are supposed to collect, analyze and use the information, with the help of complex technical means, which are used for water measurement in conditions of water charges, and for the purpose to control the technological processes of water supply and water drainage, when the needs of water users are satisfied and the environment get less damage. In the work, we study the mathematical calculation of the unsteady water line in the Krasnodar suburban channel for water measurement. The imitated research of hydraulic processes were carried out on the mathematical model of water measurement, based on the characteristic methods, with the use of analytical solution of ordinary differential equations of the initial characteristics. The use of the considered method of water measurement in irrigation channels with the use of analytical solution of ordinary differential equations of initial characteristics will allow to optimize the processes of water measurement and to minimize idle and non-technological discharges of water from the system
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Description
The article presents the design study for construction of a drainage system on the territory of gardening association «Zarya» in the region of Gukovo in Krasnosulinsky district of Rostov region. Construction of a drainage system is a prerequisite for reducing the groundwater level caused by the infiltration of the drainage complex mine called Burgustinskaya. The results of the calculations determined the value of the total infiltration groundwater feeding; inflow rate to each of the 6 drains per unit length, water flow ability of a horizontal pipe drainage, as well as a diameter of drainage pipes
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REAL AND NOMINAL SIGNIFICANCE LEVELS IN STATISTICAL HYPOTHESIS TESTING
01.00.00 Physical-mathematical sciences
DescriptionIn the statistical hypothesis testing, critical values often point to a priori fixed (nominal) significance levels. As such, typically researcher uses the values of three numbers 0.01, 0.05, 0.1, to which may be added a few levels: 0.001, 0.005, 0.02, and others. However, for the statistics with discrete distribution functions, which, in particular, include all nonparametric statistical tests, the real significance levels may be different from the nominal, differ at times. Under the real significance level we refer to the highest possible significance level of discrete statistics, not exceeding a given nominal significance level (ie, the transition to the next highest possible value corresponding discrete statistical significance level is greater than a predetermined nominal). In the article, we have discussed the difference between nominal and real significance levels on the example of nonparametric tests for the homogeneity of two independent samples. We have also studied two-sample Wilcoxon test, the criterion of van der Waerden, Smirnov two-sample two-sided test, sign test, runs test (Wolfowitz) and calculated the real significance levels of the criteria for nominal significance level of 0.05. The study of the power of these statistical tests is accomplished by means of Monte Carlo method. The main conclusion: the use of nominal significance levels instead of real significance levels for discrete statistics is inadmissible for small sample sizes
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RESULTS OF THE STUDY OF WATERMELON AND MELON COMPATIBILITY IN VARIOUS KINDS OF STOCKS
DescriptionA priority direction at the present stage of vegetable growing development is to obtain high-quality, environmentally friendly production on the basis of development and introduction of new technologies of cultivation. At the same time, it is compulsory to emphasize the importance of expanding the range of crops which can vary nutrition of population. Currently promising direction is search of new high-efficient and environmentally friendly methods of plant protection. Biological methods of effect on the plant body acquire great significance. One of such methods is using grafts. In a light of new changed conditions, the research on grafted plants was not conducted in our country
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Description
The article presents the results of studying the growth-stimulating activity of the microorganisms of the genus Bacillus of leaf surface microflora arboreal plants in Stavropol. Isolated and identified strains of epiphytic microorganisms of the genus Bacillus with the leaf surface of plants: Quercus robur L., Carpinus caucasica Grossh., Fraxinus excelsior L., Acer campestre L.. Growth stimulating properties of 43 strains of aerobic spore-forming bacteria (Bacillus subtilis, Bac. megaterium, Bac. pumilis, Bac. cereus, Bac. Licheniformis) are researched. Selected strains are potentially promising in the development of microbial preparations for plants. A regional collection of strains of epiphytic organisms was formed
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QUANTUM DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS AND PROBLEMS OF THEIR PRACTICAL IMPLEMENTATION
DescriptionThe goal of the study is to analyze the existing quantum distribution systems, their probable applications, as well as the issues with their practical implementation